Fact based stock research
Ayala Land (PSE:ALI)

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Ayala Land stock research in summary

ayalaland.com.ph

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with investment alternatives), Ayala Land (Real Estate: Diversified Operations, Philippines) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Ayala Land are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 74, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 35). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 81, is a strong buy recommendation based on Ayala Land's financial characteristics. As the company Ayala Land's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 79) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 35) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 74), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 79% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	79
Growth Rank	35
Safety Rank	74
Combined Rank	81

Country	Philippines
Industry	Real Estate: Diversified Operations
Index	Independent Boards Growth Markets, Low Waste, R/E Growth Markets, Recycling
Size class	Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Ayala Land

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	44	70	67	79
GROWTH
GROWTH	33	79	21	35
SAFETY
SAFETY	67	60	85	74
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	97	100	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	99	85	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Ayala Land is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	44	70	67	79
GROWTH
GROWTH	33	79	21	35
SAFETY
SAFETY	67	60	85	74
COMBINED
COMBINED	42	94	75	81

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Ayala Land the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Ayala Land shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Ayala Land. Price-to-Sales is 71 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 71% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Ayala Land's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 56% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 69. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Ayala Land are expected to be higher than for 52% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 52). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 79, is a buy recommendation based on Ayala Land's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Ayala Land based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	36	55	56	71
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	49	37	36	56
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	35	54	59	69
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	46	38	41	52
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	44	70	67	79

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Ayala Land; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 35 (better than 35% compared with alternatives), Ayala Land shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Ayala Land. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 91, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 47% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 37 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 63% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 47 and Stock Returns with a rank of 19 are also low (below 81% of alternative investments). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 35, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for Ayala Land is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	35	88	29	37
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	71	69	47
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	82	17	91
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	71	31	43	19
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	33	79	21	35

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Ayala Land.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 74 (better than 74% compared with alternatives), the company Ayala Land has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Ayala Land is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Ayala Land. Leverage is at 52, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 52% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 78, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 78% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 67, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 67% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 74 (better than 74% compared with alternatives), Ayala Land has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Ayala Land but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	40	52	48	52
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	65	62	85	78
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	58	55	66	67
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	67	60	85	74

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Ayala Land and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	82	92	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	60	93	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	80	67	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	67	82	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	97	100	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Ayala Land.
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