March 14, 2024
Top 10 Stock Bellway Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Bellway – Top 10 Stock in Customer Satisfaction Leaders in Europe
Bellway is listed as a top 10 stock on March 14, 2024 in the market index Customer Focus EU because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Three consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. Only the Value Rank is below average. The investment rationale may be an investment in future growth, supported by professional market opinion. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 74 (high 74% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for Bellway on March 14, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Industry | Homebuilding |
| Index | FTSE All Shares, FTSE 250, FTSE 350, Customer Focus EU, Employee Focus EU |
| Size class | X-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Bellway Buy
| 360 METRICS | March 14, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 22 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 69 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 100 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 62 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 74 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 74 (better than 74% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Bellway are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Bellway. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 69, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 69% of competitors in the same industry. The consolidated Safety Rank at 100 means that the company has a financing structure that is safer than 100% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, the consolidated Sentiment Rank has a good rank of 62, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 62% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Value Rank is less desirable at 22, meaning that the share price of Bellway is on the higher side compared with indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is higher than for 78% of alternative stocks in the same industry. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 74, Bellway is better positioned than 74% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as above-average growth (Growth Rank of 69), a safe financing structure (Safety Rank of 100), and positive professional market sentiment (Sentiment Rank of 62), it is a solid stock investment where growth may be the strongest driver of the investment rationale, also reflected by institutional investors. It is typical for growth companies to have low value, as is the case here. Investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much more do you pay for the stock of Bellway compared with alternatives? You can use the following rule of thumb: The growth rank measures the growth momentum of the company (69% better than peers). The value rank could be the reverse reflection of that (31%). A Value Rank below that level may be assessed as expensive, a rank above that is still good value. Sometimes market sentiment just reflects the past, sometimes the reality. You pay more than the market average for this stock, but it may be worth it. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Bellway positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 62 (better than 62% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Bellway is above average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Bellway. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 68 (better than 68% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. In addition, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 69, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better in recommending investing in the company. In other words, they are getting even more optimistic about investments in Bellway. Finally, the Professional Investors rank is 70, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 70% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 62 (more positive than 62% compared with investment alternatives), Bellway has a reputation among professional investors that is above-average compared with that of its competitors. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. But there is also a signal for caution. Market Pulse has a rank of 27, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 73% of competitors). This could mean future risks and should make investors careful. Attention to negative news for Bellway is worthwhile because they may be early warning signals. Without those, all other professional signals are encouraging, especially since analysts are getting more optimistic. ...read more
Value Strategy: Bellway Stock Price Value low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 22 (worse than 78% compared with alternatives), Bellway shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators where three out of four are below average for Bellway. Only the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) indicates good stock value with a Price-to-Book Rank of 71, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 71% of comparable investments. All other value indicators are below the market median. Price-to-Sales is 31 which means the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 69% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Bellway's revenue levels. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 71 and for the dividend yields rank which is lower than for 72% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 22, is a sell recommendation based on Bellway's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Why are market participants paying such a high price for Bellway, where three out of four value indicators are below par? One reason could be that the company is well financed, indicated by the high book capital level, and has a promising future that is not yet visible in reported revenues and profits. That would also explain the low dividend yield because the company needs the cash to invest in its future. If investors can verify a picture in this sense, the stock may still be a good investment, even though current company-reported financials don't fully explain current stock prices. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Bellway Growth Momentum good
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 69 (better than 69% compared with alternatives), Bellway shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Bellway. Sales Growth has a rank of 92 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 92% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 6% of competitors with a rank of 67, and Stock Returns with the rank of 80 is also an outperformance. Only Profit Growth is low with a rank of 6 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 94% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 69, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. All three operating growth indicators, namely revenue, profit, and capital growth, are showing improvements. This is a good indication of a company with a positive future. That might, at the same time, be the simple reason why profit growth is low. A growing company needs money and thus can't yet show high profit growth. Look out for signs in corporate communication about extra growth efforts costing time and money. If that is the case, Bellway is a good growth stock. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Bellway Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | March 14, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 89 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 92 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 89 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 100 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Bellway has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Bellway is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Bellway. Leverage is at 89, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 89% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 92, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 92% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 89, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 89% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives), Bellway has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Bellway Top Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | March 14, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 22 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 69 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 89 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 81 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with investment alternatives), Bellway (Homebuilding, United Kingdom) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Bellway are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 22 (worse than 78% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 69) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 100, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 81, is a strong buy recommendation based on Bellway's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Bellway exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 22), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 69). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 100) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). ...read more
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