Fact based stock research
Green Brick Partners (NasdaqCM:GRBK)

US3927091013

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Green Brick Partners stock research in summary

greenbrickpartners.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 98 (better than 98% compared with investment alternatives), Green Brick Partners (Homebuilding, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Green Brick Partners are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 35 (worse than 65% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 95) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 80, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 98, is a strong buy recommendation based on Green Brick Partners's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Green Brick Partners exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 35), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 95). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 80) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	35
Growth Rank	95
Safety Rank	80
Combined Rank	98

Country	USA
Industry	Homebuilding
Index	NASDAQ
Size class	Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Green Brick Partners

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	54	63	35	35
GROWTH
GROWTH	87	67	97	95
SAFETY
SAFETY	57	80	80	80
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	51	61	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	75	59	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Green Brick Partners is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	54	63	35	35
GROWTH
GROWTH	87	67	97	95
SAFETY
SAFETY	57	80	80	80
COMBINED
COMBINED	80	98	98	98

Last update of combined financial performance: 6-Oct-2022. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Green Brick Partners the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 35 (worse than 65% compared with alternatives), Green Brick Partners shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Green Brick Partners. Only Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) indicates good stock value with a rank of 84, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 84% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Green Brick Partners's profit levels. But Price-to-Sales is 26 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than for 74% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Green Brick Partners's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 45 and for dividend yield, which is lower than for 99% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 35, is a hold recommendation based on Green Brick Partners's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Can we rely on only one good value indicator? Only if we know the company well. In this case, a high Price-to-Profit Rank, while Price-to-Sales and Price-to-Book are both below the market typical levels, means that the company can charge higher prices for its products and needs less capital to produce them. If this is sustainable, then Green Brick Partners is a good investment because profits count most in enterprise valuations. The low dividend yield indicates that the company is confident it can do something with the generated cash that is more valuable than paying the profits out to the shareholders in the form of dividends. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	63	65	31	26
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	83	80	93	84
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	55	71	42	45
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	1	1	1
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	54	63	35	35

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Green Brick Partners; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 95 (better than 95% compared with alternatives) for 2022, Green Brick Partners shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators above average for Green Brick Partners. Sales Growth has a value of 73, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 73% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth with a value of 81 and for Capital Growth with 83. In addition, Stock Returns had an above-average rank value of 73, which means they have been higher than 73% of comparable investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 95, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Since all Growth Ranks are positive, Green Brick Partners exhibits above-average growth momentum. This could be due to a uniquely strong market position, proprietary technology, or an extensive corporate acquisition strategy. Growth investors will find this an attractive investment opportunity, unless they expect that the current phase is transitory and will deteriorate in the future. The current performance could also be a temporary recovery from a very low point, such as a turn-around situation. In the case of a turn-around, the current performance may or may not be followed by a continuing positive development. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	57	87	65	73
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	94	67	73	81
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	37	71	83
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	82	51	91	73
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	87	67	97	95

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Green Brick Partners.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 80 (better than 80% compared with alternatives) for 2022, the company Green Brick Partners has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Green Brick Partners is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Green Brick Partners. Leverage is at 54, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 54% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 94, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 94% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 69, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 69% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 80 (better than 80% compared with alternatives), Green Brick Partners has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Green Brick Partners but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	22	64	52	54
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	92	94	94	94
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	46	37	76	69
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	57	80	80	80

Last update of Safety Rank: 6-Oct-2022. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Green Brick Partners and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	54	14	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	25	75	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	58	70	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	51	61	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Green Brick Partners.
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