April 11, 2024
Top 10 Stock BMW Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: BMW – Top 10 Stock in Deutscher Aktienindex DAX 40
BMW is listed as a top 10 stock on April 11, 2024 in the market index DAX 40 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While half the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, investor sentiment is negative and growth performance is below market average, both a sign for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 55 (high 55% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for BMW on April 11, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Germany |
| Industry | Automobile Manufacturers |
| Index | CDAX, DAX 40, EURO STOXX 50, Dividends Europe, Employee Focus EU, Human Rights |
| Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View BMW Buy
| 360 METRICS | April 11, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 85 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 6 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 72 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 49 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 55 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock BMW are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half the metrics below and half above average for BMW. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 85, which means that the share price of BMW is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 85% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 72. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 49. Professional investors are more confident in 51% other stocks. The consolidated Growth Rank also has a low rank of 6, which means that the company is below average in terms of growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, invested capital growth, and stock returns. 94 of its competitors have better growth. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 55, BMW is better positioned than 55% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. The picture is mixed here. The stock seems to be a good value (Value Rank of 85), and the financing structure is on the safer side (Safety Rank of 72). However, sentiment in the professional investor community is below-average (Sentiment Rank of 49), as is the growth momentum for the company (Growth Rank of 6). Since the company is good value and the share price low, it should attract investors, yet professionals are skeptical. Even though the financing structure is not as important as Value, Growth, and Sentiment, investors should still be careful with this decision and conduct further research if they are serious about investing in this company. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for BMW only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 49 (better than 49% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock BMW is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the indicators below and above average for BMW. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 11 (worse than 89% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 86 which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in BMW. Market Pulse is also positive with a rank of 70, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are positive in their discussions about this company (more positive news than for 70% of competitors). Only professional investors tend to be absent with a Professional Investors rank of 30, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 70% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. But that could also be due to the size of the company. Professional investors tend to invest in XL and XXL companies. If the company is smaller than that, that fact alone may explain why there are fewer pros present. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 49 (less encouraging than 51% compared with investment alternatives), BMW has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. Since analysts are getting more optimistic and the professional communication channels are positive, it may be an indication of a company that has the difficult times behind it or the stocks’ value is improving. For medium to smaller companies, the positive sentiment indicators outshine the negative. ...read more
Value Strategy: BMW Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives) for 2024, BMW shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for BMW. Price-to-Sales is 64 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 64% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for BMW's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 78% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 82. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of BMW are expected to be higher than for 81% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 81). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 85, is a buy recommendation based on BMW's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in BMW based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: BMW Growth Momentum negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 6 (better than 6% compared with alternatives), BMW shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for BMW. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 14, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 86% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 17, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 26. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 74% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 63, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 63% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 6, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for BMW, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. ...read more
Safety Strategy: BMW Debt Financing Safety above-average
| SAFETY METRICS | April 11, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 50 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 41 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 96 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 72 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 72 (better than 72% compared with alternatives), the company BMW has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of BMW is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for BMW. Leverage is at a rank of 50, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 50% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 96, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 96% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 41, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 59% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 72 (better than 72% compared with alternatives), BMW has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for BMW. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: BMW Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | April 11, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 85 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 6 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 96 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 59 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 59 (better than 59% compared with investment alternatives), BMW (Automobile Manufacturers, Germany) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of BMW are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 85 (better than 85% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 72, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 6). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 59, is a buy recommendation based on BMW's financial characteristics. As the company BMW's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 85) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 6) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 72), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 85% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. ...read more
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