Fact based stock research
Coterra Energy (NYSE:COG)
US1270971039
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
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Coterra Energy stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 78 (better than 78% compared with investment alternatives), Coterra Energy (Oil & Gas Production, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Coterra Energy are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 53 (better than 53% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 96, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 35). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 78, is a strong buy recommendation based on Coterra Energy's financial characteristics. As the company Coterra Energy's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 53) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 35) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 96), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 53% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° ViewnewThis stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Coterra Energy
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 6 |
|
53 |
|
35 |
|
53 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 12 |
|
63 |
|
35 |
|
35 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 88 |
|
95 |
|
88 |
|
96 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
43 |
|
44 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
73 |
|
44 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 78 (better than 78% compared with investment alternatives), Coterra Energy (Oil & Gas Production, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Coterra Energy are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 53 (better than 53% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 96, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 35). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 78, is a strong buy recommendation based on Coterra Energy's financial characteristics. As the company Coterra Energy's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 53) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 35) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 96), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 53% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 6 |
|
53 |
|
35 |
|
53 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 12 |
|
63 |
|
35 |
|
35 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 88 |
|
95 |
|
88 |
|
96 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 15 |
|
93 |
|
48 |
|
78 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), Coterra Energy shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Coterra Energy. Expected dividend yields are higher than for 65% of comparable companies (a Dividend Yield rank of 65), making the stock attractive. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 60, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 60% of comparable investments. But in respect to sales and profits, the picture is reversed. Price-to-Sales is 29 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than for 71% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Coterra Energy's sales levels. The Price-to-Profit ratio (also referred to as price-earnings (P/E) ratio) is also unfavorable for Coterra Energy with a rank of 48. This means that the stock price, compared with what market professionals expect for future profits, is higher than for 52% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Coterra Energy's profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 53, is a buy recommendation based on Coterra Energy's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The company seems confident that it can generate a reasonable return on invested capital, because it pays an above-average dividend while profits are below what you would expect for a company with this stock price. If you agree with this practice and believe that profits will return to higher levels, as the current dividend policy suggests, Coterra Energy may be an attractive investment. If this is not the case, you may want to be careful with this stock as it is also expensive compared with its expected revenue levels. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 6 |
|
14 |
|
15 |
|
29 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 11 |
|
62 |
|
26 |
|
48 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 1 |
|
65 |
|
52 |
|
60 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 63 |
|
67 |
|
69 |
|
65 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 6 |
|
53 |
|
35 |
|
53 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 35 (better than 35% compared with alternatives), Coterra Energy shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Coterra Energy. Sales Growth has a rank of 60 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 60% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 32% of competitors with a rank of 52. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 32, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 68% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 33. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 35, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 32 |
|
98 |
|
39 |
|
60 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 61 |
|
76 |
|
41 |
|
32 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
50 |
|
27 |
|
52 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 20 |
|
9 |
|
71 |
|
33 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 12 |
|
63 |
|
35 |
|
35 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Coterra Energy has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Coterra Energy is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Coterra Energy. Leverage is at 80, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 80% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 84, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 84% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 88, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 88% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives), Coterra Energy has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Coterra Energy but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 80 |
|
69 |
|
80 |
|
80 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 59 |
|
77 |
|
72 |
|
84 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 82 |
|
95 |
|
83 |
|
88 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 88 |
|
95 |
|
88 |
|
96 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
42 |
|
38 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
22 |
|
34 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
27 |
|
66 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
70 |
|
60 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
43 |
|
44 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Coterra Energy from November 14, 2024.
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