July 6, 2023
Top 10 Stock Carnival Corp Sell Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Carnival Corp – Top 10 Stock in Recycling Leaders
Carnival Corp is listed as a top 10 stock on July 06, 2023 in the market index Recycling because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Only one consolidated Obermatt Rank is above-average. The company is growing above average, but all other facts speak against a stock purchase, especially the low market sentiment by professional investors. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 19 (19% performer), Obermatt issues an overall sell recommendation for Carnival Corp on July 06, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | USA |
| Industry | Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines |
| Index | FTSE All Shares, FTSE 250, FTSE 350, Low Emissions, Diversity USA, Human Rights, Low Waste, Recycling, S&P US Luxury, S&P 500 |
| Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Carnival Corp Sell
| 360 METRICS | July 6, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 22 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 97 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 8 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 22 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 19 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 19 (better than 19% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Carnival Corp are critical, mostly below average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Carnival Corp. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 97, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. It ranks higher than 97% of competitors in the same industry. The other indicators are below average, namely the Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks.The Value Rank at 22 means that the share price of Carnival Corp is on the high side compared with its peers regarding revenues, profits, and invested capital. The stock price is higher than for 78% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 8, which means that the company has a riskier financing structure than 92% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. The consolidated Sentiment Rank also has a low rank of 22, indicating professional investors are more pessimistic about the stock than for 78% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 19, Carnival Corp is worse than 81% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. This means that Carnival Corp shares are on the riskier side for investors. As only one of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibits excellent performance, namely the above-average growth (Growth Rank of 97), it is a riskier stock investment proposition. Aside from the critical professional market sentiment (Sentiment Rank of 22), the company is rather risky when it comes to financing (Safety Rank of 8). The negative market view on Carnival Corp may be due to the high stock price (low value). A growth company like this may get too expensive at one point in time. If too many investors are desperate to join the party, they may drive stock prices above reasonable levels. While it is typical for growth companies to have low value, because investors are willing to pay more for companies that are expected to have high growth, the crucial question is: how much more do you pay for the stock of Carnival Corp compared with alternatives? You can use the following rule of thumb: The value rank shouldn’t be lower than one minus the growth rank. For example, if the growth rank is at 75, and the value rank is at 5, you should tread carefully. If the value rank is at 40, it still might be a good value (even though it is lower than 50). As market sentiment is critical, you should be careful with paying more than market-average for this stock and conduct further research into the company's future growth potential. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Carnival Corp negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 22 (better than 22% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Carnival Corp is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Carnival Corp. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 34 (worse than 66% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 98, which means that stock research experts have found something to make them more positive about investing in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in Carnival Corp. But the Professional Investors rank is low at 30, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 70% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. Market Pulse is also low at a rank of 9, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 91% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 22 (less encouraging than 78% compared with investment alternatives), Carnival Corp has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. These are quite a few negative sentiment signals. One may want to trust the analysts that are changing their opinions. They may be early indications of better times, especially if the company is a smaller one. But If they are an extra large company, they should have more professional stockholders than are currently present. ...read more
Value Strategy: Carnival Corp Stock Price Value low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 22 (worse than 78% compared with alternatives), Carnival Corp shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where the majority of metrics are below, and only one is above average for Carnival Corp. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 67, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than 67% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning to Carnival Corp's revenue size. But all other performance indicators point in a different direction. Dividend yields have a Dividend Yield rank of 1, meaning that dividends are expected to be lower than for 99% of comparable investments. Furthermore, Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than 54% of alternatives (only 46% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E), which is higher than for 91% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 22, is a sell recommendation based on Carnival Corp's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since Price-to-Sales is a stable value indicator even in challenging times, investing in Carnival Corp could be seen as a value investment. However, there must be a good reason for the low market-to-book rank. If the company has a typical capital investment practice, the stock may be overvalued because the profit and dividend-related performance indicators are also low. The stock is only good value if investors can expect profits and dividends to pick up in the future. Else, Carnival Corp looks like an expensive investment today. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Carnival Corp Growth Momentum high
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 97 (better than 97% compared with alternatives) for 2023, Carnival Corp shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators above average for Carnival Corp. Sales Growth has a value of 70, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 70% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth with a value of 75 and for Capital Growth with 93. In addition, Stock Returns had an above-average rank value of 71, which means they have been higher than 71% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 97, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Since all Growth Ranks are positive, Carnival Corp exhibits above-average growth momentum. This could be due to a uniquely strong market position, proprietary technology, or an extensive corporate acquisition strategy. Growth investors will find this an attractive investment opportunity, unless they expect that the current phase is transitory and will deteriorate in the future. The current performance could also be a temporary recovery from a very low point, such as a turn-around situation. In the case of a turn-around, the current performance may or may not be followed by a continuing positive development. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Carnival Corp Debt Financing Safety risky
| SAFETY METRICS | July 6, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 28 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 18 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 12 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 8 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 8 (better than 8% compared with alternatives), the company Carnival Corp has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Carnival Corp is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Carnival Corp. Liquidity is at 12, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 88% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 28, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 72% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 18 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 82% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 8 (worse than 92% compared with alternatives), Carnival Corp has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing.
Combined financial peformance: Carnival Corp Below-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | July 6, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 22 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 97 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 12 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 32 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 32 (worse than 68% compared with investment alternatives), Carnival Corp (Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Carnival Corp are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 22 (worse than 78% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 8, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 97). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 32, is a hold recommendation based on Carnival Corp's financial characteristics. As the company Carnival Corp shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 22 (78% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 97% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 97). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 8 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Carnival Corp, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. ...read more
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