September 26, 2024
Top 10 Stock Centerra Strong Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Centerra – Top 10 Stock in Recycling Leaders
Centerra is listed as a top 10 stock on September 26, 2024 in the market index Recycling because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, it is a solid investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is low, despite a currently slow growth momentum. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 94 (top 94% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for Centerra on September 26, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Canada |
| Industry | Gold Production |
| Index | Low Emissions, Copper, Gold, Low Waste, Recycling, TSX Composite |
| Size class | Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Centerra Strong Buy
| 360 METRICS | September 26, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 94 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 41 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 92 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 81 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 94 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 94 (better than 94% compared with alternatives) for 2024, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Centerra are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Centerra. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 94, which means that the share price of Centerra is on the lower side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 94% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 92. In addition, professional market sentiment is above average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 81. But the consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 41, which means that the company is below average in terms of growth and momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. 59 of its competitors have better growth. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 94, Centerra is better positioned than 94% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks show above-average performance. The stock has as good value (Value Rank of 94), secure financing practices (Safety Rank of 92), and positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 81). It is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited, and disappointments are less likely to occur. The company’s growth expectations are below the industry average (Growth Rank of 41), but that could also be temporary since professional investors remain optimistic despite the low growth numbers. The low price as reflected in the good Value Rank could indicate that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this. Companies that grow less are typically cheaper than fast-growing competitors. We recommend evaluating whether the future of Centerra is as difficult as the stock’s low price suggests, despite the positive professional investor sentiment. Since the professional community is optimistic, you might have less to worry about, and the stock may just go through a more challenging phase now, indicating good timing. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Centerra very positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with alternatives) for 2024, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Centerra is very positive. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Centerra. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 47 (worse than 53% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 65, which indicates a shift in stock research experts opinions for the better. In other words, they are getting more optimistic about stock investments in Centerra. Even better, the Professional Investors rank is 100, meaning that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 100% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. Furthermore, Market Pulse has a rank of 62, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are upbeat when discussing this company (more positive news than for 62% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 81 (more positive than 81% compared with investment alternatives), Centerra has a reputation among professional investors that is significantly higher than that of its competitors. While analysts are still critical of the company, some are changing their minds. In addition, the professional news channels are optimistic, and many institutional investors have already bought stock in the company. These are encouraging signals, despite the still lower level of analyst recommendations. They may be due to a problematic past, and about to change. The positive sentiment signals are stronger than the negative. ...read more
Value Strategy: Centerra Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 94 (better than 94% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Centerra shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Centerra. Price-to-Sales is 70 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 70% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Centerra's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 73% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 92. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Centerra are expected to be higher than for 81% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 81). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 94, is a buy recommendation based on Centerra's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Centerra based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: Centerra Growth Momentum low
| GROWTH METRICS | September 26, 2024 | |||||||
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| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 8 |
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| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 96 |
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| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | 22 |
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| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 59 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 41 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 41 (better than 41% compared with alternatives), Centerra shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Centerra. Profit Growth has a rank of 96, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 96% of its competitors. This is a good sign for shareholders, which is confirmed by an above-average Stock Returns rank of 59 (above 59% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has a below the median rank of 8, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 92% of its competitors, and Capital Growth also has a lower rank of 22. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 41, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Because revenues and invested capital are the more solid growth indicators, the positive development on the profit side is less relevant. It may have been caused by cost-cutting, which may be a negative growth indicator. Finally, the above-average stock returns recently are a thing of the past and not a good indicator of future returns. Investors should be confident that the cost-cutting initiative leading to higher profits is to benefit the company's future. If not, there is little growth momentum, and investment is only advisable if the Value Ranks suggest a good investment timing for Centerra. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Centerra Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | September 26, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 84 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 85 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 85 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 92 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Centerra has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Centerra is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Centerra. Leverage is at 84, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 84% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 85, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 85% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 85, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 85% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with alternatives), Centerra has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Centerra Top Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | September 26, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 94 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 41 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 85 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 98 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 98 (better than 98% compared with investment alternatives), Centerra (Gold Production, Canada) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Centerra are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 94 (better than 94% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 92, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 41). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 98, is a strong buy recommendation based on Centerra's financial characteristics. As the company Centerra's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 94) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 41) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 92), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 94% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. ...read more
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