Fact based stock research
Central Pattana (SET:CPN)
TH0481B10Z00
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Central Pattana stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 10 (worse than 90% compared with investment alternatives), Central Pattana (Real Estate: Operating Services, Thailand) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Central Pattana are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 45), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 16), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 10, is a sell recommendation based on Central Pattana's financial characteristics. As the company Central Pattana's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 27), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 45), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 16), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | Thailand |
Industry | Real Estate: Operating Services |
Index | SET, R/E Growth Markets |
Size class | Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Central Pattana
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 25 |
|
27 |
|
24 |
|
27 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 26 |
|
65 |
|
71 |
|
45 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 29 |
|
20 |
|
10 |
|
16 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
45 |
|
95 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
29 |
|
56 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 10 (worse than 90% compared with investment alternatives), Central Pattana (Real Estate: Operating Services, Thailand) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Central Pattana are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 45), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 16), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 10, is a sell recommendation based on Central Pattana's financial characteristics. As the company Central Pattana's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 27), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 45), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 16), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 25 |
|
27 |
|
24 |
|
27 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 26 |
|
65 |
|
71 |
|
45 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 29 |
|
20 |
|
10 |
|
16 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 8 |
|
22 |
|
10 |
|
10 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% compared with alternatives), Central Pattana shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Central Pattana. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 54% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 28 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 72% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Central Pattana's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 30 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 70% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 26 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 74% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 27, is a hold recommendation based on Central Pattana's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick Central Pattana? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose Central Pattana only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 12 |
|
23 |
|
19 |
|
28 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 50 |
|
19 |
|
19 |
|
30 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 23 |
|
21 |
|
17 |
|
26 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 52 |
|
47 |
|
53 |
|
54 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 25 |
|
27 |
|
24 |
|
27 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 45 (better than 45% compared with alternatives), Central Pattana shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half of the indicators are below and half above average for Central Pattana. Profit Growth, with a rank of 59 (better than 59% of its competitors), and Capital Growth, with a rank of 62, are both positive, which is a healthy sign for positive development. But Sales Growth has only a rank of 26, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 74% of its competitors, and Stock Returns are at a rank of 33. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 45, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Stock returns that are a thing of the past can be less of a problem. Below-average revenue growth may be caused by divestments of underperforming businesses. If that is the case, then the positive developments of profit and capital growth are signs of a company with growth potential. If these are the reasons, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 14 |
|
91 |
|
32 |
|
26 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 44 |
|
6 |
|
78 |
|
59 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
66 |
|
91 |
|
62 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 75 |
|
55 |
|
29 |
|
33 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 26 |
|
65 |
|
71 |
|
45 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 16 (better than 16% compared with alternatives), the company Central Pattana has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Central Pattana is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Central Pattana. Liquidity is at 70, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 70% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 9, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 91% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 42, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 58% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 16 (worse than 84% compared with alternatives), Central Pattana has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 38 |
|
45 |
|
38 |
|
42 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 38 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
9 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 49 |
|
58 |
|
60 |
|
70 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 29 |
|
20 |
|
10 |
|
16 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
46 |
|
63 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
46 |
|
50 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
29 |
|
98 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
81 |
|
88 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
45 |
|
95 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Central Pattana from December 19, 2024.
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