July 4, 2024
Top 10 Stock Cisco Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Cisco – Top 10 Stock in NASDAQ 100 Index
Cisco is listed as a top 10 stock on July 04, 2024 in the market index NASDAQ 100 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While only half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit above-average performance, the professional market sentiment is positive and it may be a solid investment proposition, especially if a growth recovery is to be expected soon. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 25 (25% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for Cisco on July 04, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | USA |
| Industry | Communications Equipment |
| Index | Dow Jones, Dividends USA, Diversity USA, Renewables Users, NASDAQ 100, NASDAQ, S&P 500 |
| Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Cisco Hold
| 360 METRICS | July 4, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 55 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 23 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 15 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 83 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 25 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 25 (better than 25% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Cisco are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half the metrics below and half above average for Cisco. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 55, which means that the share price of Cisco is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is lower than for 55% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Sentiment Rank has a good rank of 83, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 83% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 23, which means that the company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, invested capital growth, and stock returns. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 15, meaning the company has a riskier financing structure than 85 comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 25, Cisco is worse than 75% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit above-average performance, but the other half are below market levels. The company enjoys a good value (Value Rank of 55) and positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 83), but growth expectations are below-average (Growth Rank of 23) and the financing structure is on the risky side(Safety Rank of 15). This combination is rather dangerous, because high debt levels (low safety) require growth to finance the debt burden. The current low growth level may be temporary, because professionals are actually optimistic (positive sentiment). Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this assessment. Companies with less growth typically have a lower price than fast-growing competitors. Even though professional investor sentiment is strong, we recommend further evaluating whether the future of Cisco is as challenging as the stock's low price suggests. Since the professional community is optimistic, the stock might just be going through a more challenging phase now, indicating that timing might be good now. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Cisco very positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 83 (better than 83% compared with alternatives) for 2024, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Cisco is very positive. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Cisco. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 31 (worse than 69% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 52, which indicates a shift in stock research experts opinions for the better. In other words, they are getting more optimistic about stock investments in Cisco. Even better, the Professional Investors rank is 70, meaning that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 70% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. Furthermore, Market Pulse has a rank of 87, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are upbeat when discussing this company (more positive news than for 87% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 83 (more positive than 83% compared with investment alternatives), Cisco has a reputation among professional investors that is significantly higher than that of its competitors. While analysts are still critical of the company, some are changing their minds. In addition, the professional news channels are optimistic, and many institutional investors have already bought stock in the company. These are encouraging signals, despite the still lower level of analyst recommendations. They may be due to a problematic past, and about to change. The positive sentiment signals are stronger than the negative. ...read more
Value Strategy: Cisco Stock Price Value better than average
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), Cisco shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Cisco. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 50 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 50% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Cisco's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 42, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 42% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than 86% of alternatives (only 14% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than 2% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 55, is a buy recommendation based on Cisco's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high in respect to expected revenues, it means that the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than pay it out to shareholders, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Cisco Growth Momentum negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 23 (better than 23% compared with alternatives), Cisco shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Cisco. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 19, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 81% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 34, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 34. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 66% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 50, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 50% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 23, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for Cisco, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Cisco Debt Financing Safety risky
| SAFETY METRICS | July 4, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 69 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 13 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 32 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 15 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 15 (better than 15% compared with alternatives), the company Cisco has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Cisco is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Cisco and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 69 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 69% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 13, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 87% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 32, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 68% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 15 (worse than 85% compared with alternatives), Cisco has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of Cisco are on the safer side. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Cisco Lowest Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | July 4, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 55 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 23 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 32 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 8 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 8 (worse than 92% compared with investment alternatives), Cisco (Communications Equipment, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Cisco are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 55 (better than 55% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 23), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 15), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 8, is a sell recommendation based on Cisco's financial characteristics. As the company Cisco's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 55) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 23) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 15), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 55% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. ...read more
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