October 24, 2024
Top 10 Stock ConAgra Sell Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: ConAgra – Top 10 Stock in S&P 500 Consumer Staples Index
ConAgra is listed as a top 10 stock on October 24, 2024 in the market index S&P US Consumer because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Only the Obermatt Value Rank exhibits above-average performance, which means that the stock is seen as critical by the professional community and other financial facts are below average, conveying mixed investment signals. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 14 (14% performer), Obermatt issues an overall sell recommendation for ConAgra on October 24, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | USA |
| Industry | Packaged Foods & Meats |
| Index | Dividends USA, S&P US Consumer, S&P US Food & Beverage, S&P 500 |
| Size class | X-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View ConAgra Sell
| 360 METRICS | October 24, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 93 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 29 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 14 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 7 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 14 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 14 (better than 14% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock ConAgra are critical, mostly below average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for ConAgra. Only the consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 93, which means that the share price of ConAgra is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is lower than for 93% of alternative stocks in the same industry. All other consolidated ranks are below average. The consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 29, which means that the company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 14, meaning the company has a riskier financing structure than 86% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, professionals are more pessimistic about the stock than for 93% of alternative investment opportunities, reflected in the consolidated Sentiment Rank of 7. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 14, ConAgra is worse than 86% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. This means that ConAgra shares are on the riskier side for investors. Only one of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibits above-average performance, namely the Value Rank at a level of 93. All other ranks are below average, so proceed with caution. The company has below-average growth expectations (Growth Rank of 29), a riskier financing structure than the competition (Safety Rank of 14), and the market sentiment in the professional investor community ranking at (Sentiment Rank of 7) is negative. This combination is sensitive to a crisis, because high debt levels (low safety) require growth to finance the debt burden. It’s no wonder that the investor community indicators are skeptical (low sentiment). Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this assessment. We recommend evaluating whether the future of ConAgra is as challenging as the low price of the stock suggests. Since the professional community is pessimistic, you might need to worry about the future of ConAgra. Only invest if you have solid reasons to believe that the low growth is temporary and the current market sentiment is an overreaction, possibly due to reputational issues in the past. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for ConAgra negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 7 (better than 7% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock ConAgra is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half the indicators below and half above average for ConAgra. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 21 (worse than 79% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. Worse, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 6, which means that stock research experts are getting even more pessimistic. In addition, the Professional Investors rank is 20, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 80% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. The only positive sentiment indicator for ConAgra is Market Pulse, with a rank of 50, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be positive when discussing this company (more positive news than for 50% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 7 (less encouraging than 93% compared with investment alternatives), ConAgra has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. This is an ambiguous picture: analysts are negative and getting even more critical while the news in the market is positive. Who should investors believe? This is a difficult question in such a situation. Investors should proceed cautiously and verify not only the financial performance in the Obermatt Value, Growth and Safety Ranks but also independent news coverage of the company. ...read more
Value Strategy: ConAgra Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 93 (better than 93% compared with alternatives) for 2024, ConAgra shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for ConAgra. Price-to-Sales is 59 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 59% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for ConAgra's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 88% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 75. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of ConAgra are expected to be higher than for 96% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 96). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 93, is a buy recommendation based on ConAgra's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in ConAgra based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: ConAgra Growth Momentum low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 29 (better than 29% compared with alternatives), ConAgra shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for ConAgra. Capital Growth has a rank of 58, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 21% of its competitors. Investors welcomed this, visible in the Stock Returns rank of 63 (above 63% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has only a rank of 19, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 81% of its competitors, and Profit Growth is also low at a rank of 21. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 29, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is an ambiguous picture. Revenue growth and capital growth are strong, but the growth in profit, which seems good, can also be an indication that growth momentum may be negative. The fact that stock returns have been above average doesn't help much, as stock returns are less reliable in showing a company’s future growth potential. Prices may perform well for the simple reason that investors were too pessimistic in the past and are now correcting their opinions and moving the stock price to a more reasonable level. As the growth picture is mixed for ConAgra, investors may want to look at value and sentiment indicators for a well-rounded picture of this stock. ...read more
Safety Strategy: ConAgra Debt Financing Safety risky
| SAFETY METRICS | October 24, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 32 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 19 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 39 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 14 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 14 (better than 14% compared with alternatives), the company ConAgra has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of ConAgra is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for ConAgra. Liquidity is at 39, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 61% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 32, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 68% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 19 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 81% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 14 (worse than 86% compared with alternatives), ConAgra has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing.
Combined financial peformance: ConAgra Below-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | October 24, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 93 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 29 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 39 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 34 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 34 (worse than 66% compared with investment alternatives), ConAgra (Packaged Foods & Meats, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of ConAgra are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 93 (better than 93% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 29), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 14), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 34, is a hold recommendation based on ConAgra's financial characteristics. As the company ConAgra's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 93) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 29) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 14), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 93% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. ...read more
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