June 20, 2024
Top 10 Stock D.R. Horton Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: D.R. Horton – Top 10 Stock in S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary Index
D.R. Horton is listed as a top 10 stock on June 20, 2024 in the market index S&P US Luxury because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As all consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, including positive market sentiment in the professional investor community, it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 49 (49% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for D.R. Horton on June 20, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | USA |
| Industry | Homebuilding |
| Index | Dividends USA, S&P US Luxury, S&P 500 |
| Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View D.R. Horton Hold
| 360 METRICS | June 20, 2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 62 |
|
||||||
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 53 |
|
||||||
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 88 |
|
||||||
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 60 |
|
||||||
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 49 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 49 (better than 49% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock D.R. Horton are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with all four indicators above average for D.R. Horton. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 62, which means that the share price of D.R. Horton is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 62% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 53, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 88. Finally, professional market sentiment is above average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 60. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 49, D.R. Horton is worse than 51% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As all consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Value Rank of 62), above-average growth (Growth Rank of 53), safe financing practices (Safety Rank of 88), and a positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 60), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited and disappointments are less likely to occur, unless information not publicly available. High-Value Ranks sometimes indicate that the company's future is challenging. If they are safely financed and have above average growth, and are still a good value, it may indicate that this will not continue. We recommend evaluating whether the future of D.R. Horton is as difficult as the stock’s low price, despite what good growth and safe financing practice suggest. Since the professional community is optimistic, you might have less to worry about, and the stock is just not sufficiently visible, which may indicate good timing right now. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for D.R. Horton positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 60 (better than 60% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock D.R. Horton is above average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all but one indicator above average for D.R. Horton. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 57 (better than 57% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. In addition, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better in recommending investing in the company. In other words, they are getting even more optimistic about investments in D.R. Horton. Finally, the Professional Investors rank is 74, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 74% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 60 (more positive than 60% compared with investment alternatives), D.R. Horton has a reputation among professional investors that is above-average compared with that of its competitors. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. But there is also a signal for caution. Market Pulse has a rank of 36, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 64% of competitors). This could mean future risks and should make investors careful. Attention to negative news for D.R. Horton is worthwhile because they may be early warning signals. Without those, all other professional signals are encouraging, especially since analysts are getting more optimistic. ...read more
Value Strategy: D.R. Horton Stock Price Value better than average
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 62 (better than 62% compared with alternatives), D.R. Horton shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for D.R. Horton. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 66 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 66% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning D.R. Horton's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 42, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 42% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than 68% of alternatives (only 32% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than 24% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 62, is a buy recommendation based on D.R. Horton's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high in respect to expected revenues, it means that the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than pay it out to shareholders, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. ...read more
Growth Strategy: D.R. Horton Growth Momentum good
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), D.R. Horton shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for D.R. Horton. Sales Growth has a rank of 54 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 54% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 27% of competitors with a rank of 61, and Stock Returns with the rank of 67 is also an outperformance. Only Profit Growth is low with a rank of 27 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 73% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 53, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. All three operating growth indicators, namely revenue, profit, and capital growth, are showing improvements. This is a good indication of a company with a positive future. That might, at the same time, be the simple reason why profit growth is low. A growing company needs money and thus can't yet show high profit growth. Look out for signs in corporate communication about extra growth efforts costing time and money. If that is the case, D.R. Horton is a good growth stock. ...read more
Safety Strategy: D.R. Horton Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | June 20, 2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 62 |
|
||||||
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 69 |
|
||||||
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 94 |
|
||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 88 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 88 (better than 88% compared with alternatives) for 2022, the company D.R. Horton has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of D.R. Horton is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for D.R. Horton. Leverage is at 62, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 62% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 69, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 69% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 94, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 94% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 88 (better than 88% compared with alternatives), D.R. Horton has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: D.R. Horton Top Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | June 20, 2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 62 |
|
||||||
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 53 |
|
||||||
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 94 |
|
||||||
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 82 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with investment alternatives), D.R. Horton (Homebuilding, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of D.R. Horton are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 62 (better than 62% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 53), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 88), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 82, is a strong buy recommendation based on D.R. Horton's financial characteristics. As the company D.R. Horton's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 62), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 53), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 88), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of D.R. Horton. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. ...read more
Obermatt Portfolio Performance
We’re so convinced about our research, that we buy our stock tips.
See the performance of the Obermatt portfolio.