June 20, 2024
Top 10 Stock Aptiv Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Aptiv – Top 10 Stock in S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary Index
Aptiv is listed as a top 10 stock on June 20, 2024 in the market index S&P US Luxury because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Three consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. Only the Value Rank is below average. The investment rationale may be an investment in future growth, supported by professional market opinion. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 57 (high 57% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for Aptiv on June 20, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Industry | Auto Parts & Equipment |
| Index | S&P US Luxury, S&P 500 |
| Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Aptiv Buy
| 360 METRICS | June 20, 2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 4 |
|
||||||
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 77 |
|
||||||
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 64 |
|
||||||
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 74 |
|
||||||
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 57 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 57 (better than 57% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Aptiv are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Aptiv. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 77, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 77% of competitors in the same industry. The consolidated Safety Rank at 64 means that the company has a financing structure that is safer than 64% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, the consolidated Sentiment Rank has a good rank of 74, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 74% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Value Rank is less desirable at 4, meaning that the share price of Aptiv is on the higher side compared with indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is higher than for 96% of alternative stocks in the same industry. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 57, Aptiv is better positioned than 57% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as above-average growth (Growth Rank of 77), a safe financing structure (Safety Rank of 64), and positive professional market sentiment (Sentiment Rank of 74), it is a solid stock investment where growth may be the strongest driver of the investment rationale, also reflected by institutional investors. It is typical for growth companies to have low value, as is the case here. Investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much more do you pay for the stock of Aptiv compared with alternatives? You can use the following rule of thumb: The growth rank measures the growth momentum of the company (77% better than peers). The value rank could be the reverse reflection of that (23%). A Value Rank below that level may be assessed as expensive, a rank above that is still good value. Sometimes market sentiment just reflects the past, sometimes the reality. You pay more than the market average for this stock, but it may be worth it. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Aptiv positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 74 (better than 74% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Aptiv is above average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Aptiv. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 81 (better than 81% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. In addition, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 85, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better in recommending investing in the company. In other words, they are getting even more optimistic about investments in Aptiv. Finally, the Professional Investors rank is 60, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 60% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 74 (more positive than 74% compared with investment alternatives), Aptiv has a reputation among professional investors that is above-average compared with that of its competitors. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. But there is also a signal for caution. Market Pulse has a rank of 27, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 73% of competitors). This could mean future risks and should make investors careful. Attention to negative news for Aptiv is worthwhile because they may be early warning signals. Without those, all other professional signals are encouraging, especially since analysts are getting more optimistic. ...read more
Value Strategy: Aptiv Stock Price Value low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 4 (worse than 96% compared with alternatives), Aptiv shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Aptiv. Price-to-Sales is 11 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 89% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Aptiv's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 22, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Aptiv. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 20 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 99% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 4, is a sell recommendation based on Aptiv's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Aptiv? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Aptiv? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Aptiv may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Aptiv Growth Momentum high
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 77 (better than 77% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Aptiv shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Aptiv. Sales Growth has a value of 74 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 74% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a value of 70 and Capital Growth with a rank of 73 means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow both profits and invested capital more than of its competitors. But Stock Returns has only a rank of 27, which means that stock returns have recently been below 73% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 77, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Aptiv has only one below-average growth indicator, the stock returns. This is probably the least reliable growth indicator, because it measures company and investor expectations at the same time. The three other growth indicators, which are all positive for Aptiv, are more reliable measures of growth momentum. For this reason, the company seems to be on a good trajectory, unless you think the current period is not representative, because of unique events that will not be repeated in the future. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Aptiv Debt Financing Safety above-average
| SAFETY METRICS | June 20, 2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 77 |
|
||||||
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 32 |
|
||||||
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 50 |
|
||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 64 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 64 (better than 64% compared with alternatives), the company Aptiv has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Aptiv is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Aptiv. Leverage is at a rank of 77, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 77% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 50, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 50% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 32, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 68% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 64 (better than 64% compared with alternatives), Aptiv has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Aptiv. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Aptiv Below-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | June 20, 2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 4 |
|
||||||
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 77 |
|
||||||
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 50 |
|
||||||
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 45 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 45 (worse than 55% compared with investment alternatives), Aptiv (Auto Parts & Equipment, United Kingdom) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Aptiv are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 4 (worse than 96% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 77) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 64, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 45, is a hold recommendation based on Aptiv's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Aptiv exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 4), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 77). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 64) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). ...read more
Obermatt Portfolio Performance
We’re so convinced about our research, that we buy our stock tips.
See the performance of the Obermatt portfolio.