July 20, 2023
Top 10 Stock Vonovia Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Vonovia – Top 10 Stock in EURO STOXX 50 Index
Vonovia is listed as a top 10 stock on July 20, 2023 in the market index EURO STOXX 50 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Only the Obermatt Value Rank exhibits above-average performance, which means that the stock is seen as critical by the professional community and other financial facts are below average, conveying mixed investment signals. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 43 (43% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for Vonovia on July 20, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Germany |
| Industry | Real Estate: Operating Services |
| Index | CDAX, DAX 40, EURO STOXX 50, Dividends Europe, Human Rights, R/E Europe, Renewables Users |
| Size class | X-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Vonovia Hold
| 360 METRICS | July 20, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 92 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 49 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 20 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 25 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 43 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 43 (better than 43% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Vonovia are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Vonovia. Only the consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 92, which means that the share price of Vonovia is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is lower than for 92% of alternative stocks in the same industry. All other consolidated ranks are below average. The consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 49, which means that the company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 20, meaning the company has a riskier financing structure than 80% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, professionals are more pessimistic about the stock than for 75% of alternative investment opportunities, reflected in the consolidated Sentiment Rank of 25. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 43, Vonovia is worse than 57% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Only one of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibits above-average performance, namely the Value Rank at a level of 92. All other ranks are below average, so proceed with caution. The company has below-average growth expectations (Growth Rank of 49), a riskier financing structure than the competition (Safety Rank of 20), and the market sentiment in the professional investor community ranking at (Sentiment Rank of 25) is negative. This combination is sensitive to a crisis, because high debt levels (low safety) require growth to finance the debt burden. It’s no wonder that the investor community indicators are skeptical (low sentiment). Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this assessment. We recommend evaluating whether the future of Vonovia is as challenging as the low price of the stock suggests. Since the professional community is pessimistic, you might need to worry about the future of Vonovia. Only invest if you have solid reasons to believe that the low growth is temporary and the current market sentiment is an overreaction, possibly due to reputational issues in the past. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Vonovia only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 25 (better than 25% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Vonovia is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Vonovia. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 50 (better than 50% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. This is a good sign, were it not for Analyst Opinions Change with a low rank of 47, which means that currently, stock research experts are changing their opinions for the worse. In other words, they are getting more critical of a stock investment in Vonovia. The Professional Investors rank is also low at 4, meaning that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 96% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. Even worse, Market Pulse has a low rank of 46, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are critical of this company (more negative news than for 54% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 25 (less encouraging than 75% compared with investment alternatives), Vonovia has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. There are several negative sentiment signals, with only the Analyst Opinions Rank above average. This could be a stock with a long reputation for being positive but where things are worsening. Most analysts may not see it yet, but some have, and the professionals are already quite pessimistic. Proceed with caution when investing in this stock. ...read more
Value Strategy: Vonovia Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with alternatives) for 2023, Vonovia shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Vonovia. Price-to-Sales is 64 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 64% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Vonovia's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 88% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 83. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Vonovia are expected to be higher than for 86% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 86). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 92, is a buy recommendation based on Vonovia's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Vonovia based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: Vonovia Growth Momentum low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 49 (better than 49% compared with alternatives), Vonovia shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Vonovia. Sales Growth has a rank of 96, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 96% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 58 is also above average. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 14, and Stock Returns with 29 are also below-average. Stock returns for Vonovia have recently been below 71% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 49, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Are investors forecasting troubles based on the lack of operating investment activity at the company? This could be one explanation as to why stock returns are low. But stock returns can also be the result of correcting an error in the past, in this case, an overly optimistic outlook on the future, which is now more realistic. The Value Ranks may confirm such a picture. The more important growth indicators are revenues and profits, which are both above average for Vonovia. This is a positive sign from the company's operational side and may give investors courage, despite the poor recent stock price performance. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Vonovia Debt Financing Safety risky
| SAFETY METRICS | July 20, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 17 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 58 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 16 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 20 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 20 (better than 20% compared with alternatives), the company Vonovia has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Vonovia is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Vonovia and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 58, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 58% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 17, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 83% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 16, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 84% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 20 (worse than 80% compared with alternatives), Vonovia has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Vonovia are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Vonovia Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | July 20, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 92 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 49 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 16 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 59 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 59 (better than 59% compared with investment alternatives), Vonovia (Real Estate: Operating Services, Germany) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Vonovia are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 92 (better than 92% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 49), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 20), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 59, is a buy recommendation based on Vonovia's financial characteristics. As the company Vonovia's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 92) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 49) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 20), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 92% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. ...read more
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