Fact based stock research
Deutsche Post (XTRA:DPW)

DE0005552004

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Deutsche Post stock research in summary

dpdhl.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 71 (better than 71% compared with investment alternatives), Deutsche Post (Air Freight & Logistics, Germany) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Deutsche Post are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 59 (better than 59% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 57), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 67), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 71, is a buy recommendation based on Deutsche Post's financial characteristics. As the company Deutsche Post's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 59), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 57), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 67), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Deutsche Post. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	59
Growth Rank	57
Safety Rank	67
Combined Rank	71

Country	Germany
Industry	Air Freight & Logistics
Index	CDAX, DAX 40, EURO STOXX 50, Low Emissions, Customer Focus EU, Dividends Europe, Employee Focus EU, Energy Efficient, Human Rights
Size class	XX-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Deutsche Post

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	44	55	40	59
GROWTH
GROWTH	81	37	42	57
SAFETY
SAFETY	47	63	65	67
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	57	90	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	61	80	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Deutsche Post is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	44	55	40	59
GROWTH
GROWTH	81	37	42	57
SAFETY
SAFETY	47	63	65	67
COMBINED
COMBINED	54	54	42	71

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Deutsche Post the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 59 (better than 59% compared with alternatives), Deutsche Post shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for Deutsche Post. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 70, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 70% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Deutsche Post's revenue size. The same is valid for dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 72, which means that dividends are expected to be higher than for 72% of comparable investments. On the other hand, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than for 66% of alternatives (only 34% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for the Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E) ratio, which is higher than for 57% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 59, is a buy recommendation based on Deutsche Post's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a somewhat surprising picture, because it means that profits are low while dividends are high. One interpretation could be that profits are expected to increase, justifying the high dividend payments. But it could also mean that the company desperately keeps the high dividends to avoid a collapsing share price. This would be a rather dangerous constellation. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	43	61	62	70
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	54	54	34	43
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	14	27	34	34
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	78	76	60	72
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	44	55	40	59

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Deutsche Post; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with alternatives), Deutsche Post shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Deutsche Post. Sales Growth has a rank of 54 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 54% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 46% of competitors with a rank of 89. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 46, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 54% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 25. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 57, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	77	18	44	54
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	64	55	28	46
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	43	41	89
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	61	61	74	25
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	81	37	42	57

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Deutsche Post.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), the company Deutsche Post has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Deutsche Post is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Deutsche Post. Leverage is at a rank of 58, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 58% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 79, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 79% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 31, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 69% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), Deutsche Post has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Deutsche Post. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Deutsche Post and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	57	50	66	58
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	26	41	39	31
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	62	77	71	79
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	47	63	65	67

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Deutsche Post and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	74	64	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	18	83	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	13	64	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	94	71	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	57	90	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Deutsche Post.
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