August 10, 2023
Top 10 Stock DMCI Holdings Strong Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: DMCI Holdings – Top 10 Stock in Real Estate in Growth Markets
DMCI Holdings is listed as a top 10 stock on August 10, 2023 in the market index R/E Growth Markets because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, it is a solid investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is low, despite a currently slow growth momentum. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 78 (top 78% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for DMCI Holdings on August 10, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Philippines |
| Industry | Industrial Conglomerates |
| Index | R/E Growth Markets |
| Size class | Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View DMCI Holdings Strong Buy
| 360 METRICS | August 10, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 89 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 15 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 74 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 83 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 78 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 78 (better than 78% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock DMCI Holdings are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for DMCI Holdings. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 89, which means that the share price of DMCI Holdings is on the lower side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 89% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 74. In addition, professional market sentiment is above average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 83. But the consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 15, which means that the company is below average in terms of growth and momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. 85 of its competitors have better growth. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 78, DMCI Holdings is better positioned than 78% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks show above-average performance. The stock has as good value (Value Rank of 89), secure financing practices (Safety Rank of 74), and positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 83). It is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited, and disappointments are less likely to occur. The company’s growth expectations are below the industry average (Growth Rank of 15), but that could also be temporary since professional investors remain optimistic despite the low growth numbers. The low price as reflected in the good Value Rank could indicate that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this. Companies that grow less are typically cheaper than fast-growing competitors. We recommend evaluating whether the future of DMCI Holdings is as difficult as the stock’s low price suggests, despite the positive professional investor sentiment. Since the professional community is optimistic, you might have less to worry about, and the stock may just go through a more challenging phase now, indicating good timing. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for DMCI Holdings very positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 83 (better than 83% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock DMCI Holdings is very positive. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all four indicators above average for DMCI Holdings. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 76 (better than 76% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. Analyst Opinions Change is also positive with a rank of 50, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better and recommending investing in the company. They are getting more optimistic about stock investments in DMCI Holdings. The Professional Investors rank is 87, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 87% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. Finally, Market Pulse has a rank of 53 which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the positive side when discussing this company (more positive news than for 53% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 83 (more positive than 83% compared with investment alternatives), DMCI Holdings has a reputation among professional investors that is significantly higher than that of its competitors. Since all market sentiment indicators are positive, the professional community highly recommends investment in the company. Does this mean DMCI Holdings stocks are a safe investment? Far from it. Even professionals make mistakes. Especially in stock investing, there is a tendency to follow the leaders. Since trees don't grow to the heavens, such positive sentiment may also be interpreted as a danger sign. A lot of optimism can often be a sign of troubles to come, albeit unforeseen by most. ...read more
Value Strategy: DMCI Holdings Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 89 (better than 89% compared with alternatives) for 2023, DMCI Holdings shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for DMCI Holdings. Price-to-Sales is 64 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 64% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for DMCI Holdings's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 89% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 68. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of DMCI Holdings are expected to be higher than for 92% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 92). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 89, is a buy recommendation based on DMCI Holdings's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in DMCI Holdings based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: DMCI Holdings Growth Momentum negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 15 (better than 15% compared with alternatives), DMCI Holdings shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for DMCI Holdings. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 6, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 94% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 21, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 31. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 69% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 53, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 53% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 15, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for DMCI Holdings, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. ...read more
Safety Strategy: DMCI Holdings Debt Financing Safety above-average
| SAFETY METRICS | August 10, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 44 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 88 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 68 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 74 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 74 (better than 74% compared with alternatives), the company DMCI Holdings has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of DMCI Holdings is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for DMCI Holdings. Refinancing is at 88, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 88% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 68, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 68% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 44, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 56% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 74 (better than 74% compared with alternatives), DMCI Holdings has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and DMCI Holdings could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: DMCI Holdings Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | August 10, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 89 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 15 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 68 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 72 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 72 (better than 72% compared with investment alternatives), DMCI Holdings (Industrial Conglomerates, Philippines) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of DMCI Holdings are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 89 (better than 89% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 74, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 15). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 72, is a buy recommendation based on DMCI Holdings's financial characteristics. As the company DMCI Holdings's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 89) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 15) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 74), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 89% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. ...read more
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