Fact based stock research
Dollar General (NYSE:DG)
US2566771059
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Dollar General stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with investment alternatives), Dollar General (General Merchandise Stores, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Dollar General are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 95 (better than 95% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 33), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 36), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 63, is a buy recommendation based on Dollar General's financial characteristics. As the company Dollar General's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 95) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 33) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 36), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 95% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | General Merchandise Stores |
| Index | S&P US Luxury, S&P 500 |
| Size class | XX-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Dollar General
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 37 |
|
33 |
|
63 |
|
95 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 40 |
|
49 |
|
21 |
|
33 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 60 |
|
40 |
|
34 |
|
36 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
83 |
|
61 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
47 |
|
36 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with investment alternatives), Dollar General (General Merchandise Stores, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Dollar General are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 95 (better than 95% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 33), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 36), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 63, is a buy recommendation based on Dollar General's financial characteristics. As the company Dollar General's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 95) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 33) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 36), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 95% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 37 |
|
33 |
|
63 |
|
95 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 40 |
|
49 |
|
21 |
|
33 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 60 |
|
40 |
|
34 |
|
36 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 51 |
|
29 |
|
20 |
|
63 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 95 (better than 95% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Dollar General shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Dollar General. Price-to-Sales is 69 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 69% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Dollar General's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 73% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 58. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Dollar General are expected to be higher than for 92% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 92). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 95, is a buy recommendation based on Dollar General's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Dollar General based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 37 |
|
26 |
|
48 |
|
69 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 63 |
|
25 |
|
46 |
|
73 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 6 |
|
29 |
|
36 |
|
58 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 69 |
|
63 |
|
78 |
|
92 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 37 |
|
33 |
|
63 |
|
95 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 33 (better than 33% compared with alternatives), Dollar General shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Dollar General. Sales Growth has a rank of 60 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 60% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 18% of competitors with a rank of 74. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 18, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 82% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 19. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 33, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 53 |
|
79 |
|
70 |
|
60 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 31 |
|
10 |
|
33 |
|
18 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
59 |
|
30 |
|
74 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 55 |
|
47 |
|
11 |
|
19 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 40 |
|
49 |
|
21 |
|
33 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 36 (better than 36% compared with alternatives), the company Dollar General has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Dollar General is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Dollar General and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 53, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 53% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 28, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 72% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 47, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 53% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 36 (worse than 64% compared with alternatives), Dollar General has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Dollar General are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Dollar General and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 56 |
|
46 |
|
21 |
|
28 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 56 |
|
25 |
|
39 |
|
53 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 69 |
|
69 |
|
58 |
|
47 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 60 |
|
40 |
|
34 |
|
36 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
60 |
|
54 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
35 |
|
83 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
97 |
|
57 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
68 |
|
34 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
83 |
|
61 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Dollar General from November 14, 2024.
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