June 15, 2023
Top 10 Stock Elastic Sell Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Elastic – Top 10 Stock in SDG 16: Peace Justice and Strong Institutions
Elastic is listed as a top 10 stock on June 15, 2023 in the market index SDG 16 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Only one consolidated Obermatt Rank is above-average. The company is growing above average, but all other facts speak against a stock purchase, especially the low market sentiment by professional investors. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 13 (13% performer), Obermatt issues an overall sell recommendation for Elastic on June 15, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Elastic Sell
| 360 METRICS | June 15, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 16 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 99 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 28 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 10 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 13 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 13 (better than 13% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Elastic are critical, mostly below average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Elastic. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 99, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. It ranks higher than 99% of competitors in the same industry. The other indicators are below average, namely the Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks.The Value Rank at 16 means that the share price of Elastic is on the high side compared with its peers regarding revenues, profits, and invested capital. The stock price is higher than for 84% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 28, which means that the company has a riskier financing structure than 72% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. The consolidated Sentiment Rank also has a low rank of 10, indicating professional investors are more pessimistic about the stock than for 90% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a 360° View of 13, Elastic is worse than 87% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. This means that Elastic shares are on the riskier side for investors. As only one of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibits excellent performance, namely the above-average growth (Growth Rank of 99), it is a riskier stock investment proposition. Aside from the critical professional market sentiment (Sentiment Rank of 10), the company is rather risky when it comes to financing (Safety Rank of 28). The negative market view on Elastic may be due to the high stock price (low value). A growth company like this may get too expensive at one point in time. If too many investors are desperate to join the party, they may drive stock prices above reasonable levels. While it is typical for growth companies to have low value, because investors are willing to pay more for companies that are expected to have high growth, the crucial question is: how much more do you pay for the stock of Elastic compared with alternatives? You can use the following rule of thumb: The value rank shouldn’t be lower than one minus the growth rank. For example, if the growth rank is at 75, and the value rank is at 5, you should tread carefully. If the value rank is at 40, it still might be a good value (even though it is lower than 50). As market sentiment is critical, you should be careful with paying more than market-average for this stock and conduct further research into the company's future growth potential. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Elastic negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 10 (better than 10% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Elastic is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Elastic. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 57 (better than 57% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. This is a good sign, were it not for Analyst Opinions Change with a low rank of 49, which means that currently, stock research experts are changing their opinions for the worse. In other words, they are getting more critical of a stock investment in Elastic. The Professional Investors rank is also low at 4, meaning that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 96% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. Even worse, Market Pulse has a low rank of 17, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are critical of this company (more negative news than for 83% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 10 (less encouraging than 90% compared with investment alternatives), Elastic has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. There are several negative sentiment signals, with only the Analyst Opinions Rank above average. This could be a stock with a long reputation for being positive but where things are worsening. Most analysts may not see it yet, but some have, and the professionals are already quite pessimistic. Proceed with caution when investing in this stock. ...read more
Value Strategy: Elastic Stock Price Value low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 16 (worse than 84% compared with alternatives), Elastic shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Elastic. Price-to-Sales is 44 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 56% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Elastic's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 23, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Elastic. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 11 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 99% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 16, is a SELL recommendation based on Elastic's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Elastic? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Elastic? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Elastic may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Elastic Growth Momentum high
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 99 (better than 99% compared with alternatives) for 2023, Elastic shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators above average for Elastic. Sales Growth has a value of 82, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 82% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth with a value of 90 and for Capital Growth with 98. In addition, Stock Returns had an above-average rank value of 55, which means they have been higher than 55% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 99, is a BUY recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Since all Growth Ranks are positive, Elastic exhibits above-average growth momentum. This could be due to a uniquely strong market position, proprietary technology, or an extensive corporate acquisition strategy. Growth investors will find this an attractive investment opportunity, unless they expect that the current phase is transitory and will deteriorate in the future. The current performance could also be a temporary recovery from a very low point, such as a turn-around situation. In the case of a turn-around, the current performance may or may not be followed by a continuing positive development. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Elastic Debt Financing Safety below-average
| SAFETY METRICS | June 15, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 26 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 57 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 28 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 28 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 28 (better than 28% compared with alternatives), the company Elastic has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Elastic is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Elastic and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 57, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 57% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 26, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 74% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 28, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 72% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 28 (worse than 72% compared with alternatives), Elastic has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Elastic are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Elastic Below-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | June 15, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 16 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 99 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 28 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 28 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 28 (worse than 72% compared with investment alternatives), Elastic (Application Software, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Elastic are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Obermatt Value Rank of 16 (worse than 84% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 28, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 99). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: An Obermatt Combined Rank of 28, is a hold recommendation based on Elastic's financial characteristics. As the company Elastic shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 16 (84% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 99% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 99). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 28 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Elastic, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. ...read more
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