March 28, 2024
Top 10 Stock Embraer Buy Recommendation



How to read the ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:

Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Snapshot: Embraer – Top 10 Stock in Bolsa de Valores-Mercadorias | BOVESPA


embraer.com


Embraer is listed as a top 10 stock on March 28, 2024 in the market index BOVESPA because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While half the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, investor sentiment is below average and thus a signal for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 63 (high 63% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for Embraer on March 28, 2024.


Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks


Country Brazil
Industry Aerospace & Defense
Index BOVESPA
Size class X-Large
Latest Research


Top 10 Stocks ≠ most popular stocks

When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).

For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).


360° View: Obermatt 360° View Embraer Buy

360 METRICS March 28, 2024
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT
360° VIEW
360° VIEW

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 63 (better than 63% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Embraer are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Embraer. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 98, which means that the share price of Embraer is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 98% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 67, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 16. Professional investors are more confident in 84% other stocks. Worryingly, the company has risky financing, with a Safety rank of 46. This means 54% of comparable companies have a safer financing structure than Embraer. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 63, Embraer is better positioned than 63% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Even though half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, namely the Value Rank at 98 and the Growth Rank above-average at 67, the picture is still mixed. The professional investor community is skeptical, with the Sentiment Rank below-average at 16. In addition, the company financing structure is on the riskier side (Safety Rank of 46). Since the company is good value and the share price low, it should attract investors, yet professionals are skeptical. One may be tempted by above-average growth, but that could also change quickly, as past performance is not a good indicator of future performance. Since the financing structure is on the risky side, investors should be careful with this decision and conduct further research if they are serious about investing in this company. ...read more




Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Embraer negative

SENTIMENT METRICS March 28, 2024
ANALYST OPINION
ANALYST OPINION
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 16 (better than 16% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Embraer is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Embraer. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 42 (worse than 58% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50, which means that stock research experts have found something to make them more positive about investing in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in Embraer. But the Professional Investors rank is low at 14, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 86% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. Market Pulse is also low at a rank of 34, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 66% of competitors). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 16 (less encouraging than 84% compared with investment alternatives), Embraer has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. These are quite a few negative sentiment signals. One may want to trust the analysts that are changing their opinions. They may be early indications of better times, especially if the company is a smaller one. But If they are an extra large company, they should have more professional stockholders than are currently present. ...read more



Value Strategy: Embraer Stock Price Value at the top

VALUE METRICS March 28, 2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 98 (better than 98% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Embraer shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Embraer. Price-to-Sales is 79 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 79% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Embraer's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 87% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 68. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Embraer are expected to be higher than for 77% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 77). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 98, is a buy recommendation based on Embraer's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Embraer based on its detailed value metrics.



Growth Strategy: Embraer Growth Momentum good

GROWTH METRICS March 28, 2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), Embraer shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Embraer. Profit Growth has a rank of 93 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 93% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 51, and Stock Returns has a rank of 77 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 77% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 34 (66% of its competitors are better). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 67, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. ...read more



Safety Strategy: Embraer Debt Financing Safety below-average

SAFETY METRICS March 28, 2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE
REFINANCING
REFINANCING
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 46 (better than 46% compared with alternatives), the company Embraer has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Embraer is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Embraer and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 88, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 88% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 27, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 73% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 23, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 77% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 46 (worse than 54% compared with alternatives), Embraer has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Embraer are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. ...read more



Combined financial peformance: Embraer Top Financial Performance

COMBINED PERFORMANCE March 28, 2024
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
COMBINED
COMBINED

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with investment alternatives), Embraer (Aerospace & Defense, Brazil) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Embraer are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 98 (better than 98% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 67) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 46), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 85, is a strong buy recommendation based on Embraer's financial characteristics. As the company Embraer's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 98) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 67), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 46) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. ...read more

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