Fact based stock research
Falabella (SNSE:FALABELLA)
CLP3880F1085
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Falabella stock research in summary
investors.falabella.comSpanishiniciodefault.aspx
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with investment alternatives), Falabella (Department Stores, Chile) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Falabella are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 36, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 91). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 54, is a buy recommendation based on Falabella's financial characteristics. As the company Falabella shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 27 (73% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 91% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 91). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 36 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Falabella, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | Chile |
Industry | Department Stores |
Index | IPSA, Good Governace Growth Markets, Renewables Users, SDG 1, SDG 10, SDG 11, SDG 3, SDG 4 |
Size class | XX-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Falabella
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 90 |
|
65 |
|
35 |
|
27 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 58 |
|
51 |
|
89 |
|
91 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 69 |
|
27 |
|
29 |
|
36 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
29 |
|
33 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
35 |
|
43 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with investment alternatives), Falabella (Department Stores, Chile) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Falabella are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 36, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 91). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 54, is a buy recommendation based on Falabella's financial characteristics. As the company Falabella shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 27 (73% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 91% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 91). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 36 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Falabella, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 90 |
|
65 |
|
35 |
|
27 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 58 |
|
51 |
|
89 |
|
91 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 69 |
|
27 |
|
29 |
|
36 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 97 |
|
41 |
|
51 |
|
54 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% compared with alternatives), Falabella shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators where three out of four are below average for Falabella. Only the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) indicates good stock value with a Price-to-Book Rank of 62, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 62% of comparable investments. All other value indicators are below the market median. Price-to-Sales is 42 which means the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 58% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Falabella's revenue levels. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 62 and for the dividend yields rank which is lower than for 75% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 27, is a hold recommendation based on Falabella's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Why are market participants paying such a high price for Falabella, where three out of four value indicators are below par? One reason could be that the company is well financed, indicated by the high book capital level, and has a promising future that is not yet visible in reported revenues and profits. That would also explain the low dividend yield because the company needs the cash to invest in its future. If investors can verify a picture in this sense, the stock may still be a good investment, even though current company-reported financials don't fully explain current stock prices. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 70 |
|
64 |
|
58 |
|
42 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 83 |
|
51 |
|
15 |
|
21 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 76 |
|
78 |
|
78 |
|
62 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 55 |
|
33 |
|
23 |
|
25 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 90 |
|
65 |
|
35 |
|
27 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Falabella shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Falabella. Profit Growth has a rank of 100 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 100% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 96, and Stock Returns has a rank of 95 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 95% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 18 (82% of its competitors are better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 91, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 26 |
|
3 |
|
20 |
|
18 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | n/a |
|
96 |
|
92 |
|
100 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
70 |
|
80 |
|
96 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 61 |
|
41 |
|
85 |
|
95 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 58 |
|
51 |
|
89 |
|
91 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 36 (better than 36% compared with alternatives), the company Falabella has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Falabella is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for Falabella.Leverage is at 56, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 56% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 50, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 50% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 10, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 90% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 36 (worse than 64% compared with alternatives), Falabella has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. Investors should compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before deciding. They may also want to investigate why cash flows are expected to be low, making debt service for Falabella more challenging. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 29 |
|
46 |
|
54 |
|
56 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 98 |
|
5 |
|
33 |
|
50 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 48 |
|
33 |
|
18 |
|
10 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 69 |
|
27 |
|
29 |
|
36 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
44 |
|
21 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
39 |
|
88 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
57 |
|
44 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
26 |
|
10 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
29 |
|
33 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Falabella from November 14, 2024.
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