May 16, 2024
Top 10 Stock Ferrexpo Strong Buy Recommendation



How to read the ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:

Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Snapshot: Ferrexpo – Top 10 Stock in Low Emission Leaders


ferrexpo.com


Ferrexpo is listed as a top 10 stock on May 16, 2024 in the market index Low Emissions because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, it is a solid investment from a financial fact perspective where only investor sentiment is a reason for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 90 (top 90% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for Ferrexpo on May 16, 2024.


Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks


Country Switzerland
Industry Steel
Index FTSE All Shares, FTSE 250, FTSE 350, Low Emissions, Dividends Europe, Human Rights, Sound Pay Europe
Size class Large
Latest Research


Top 10 Stocks ≠ most popular stocks

When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).

For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).


360° View: Obermatt 360° View Ferrexpo Strong Buy

360 METRICS May 16, 2024
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT
360° VIEW
360° VIEW

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 90 (better than 90% compared with alternatives) for 2024, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Ferrexpo are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Ferrexpo. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 99, which means that the share price of Ferrexpo is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 99% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 85, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. The company is also safely financed with a Safety Rank of 100. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of only 19. Professional investors are more confident in 81% other stocks. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 90, Ferrexpo is better positioned than 90% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Value Rank of 99), above-average growth (Growth Rank of 85), and safe financing practices (Safety Rank of 100), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited, and disappointments are less likely, unless information not publicly available. Only the professional market sentiment is on the riskier side (Sentiment Rank of 19), but that could also mean an overreaction to negative news in the past. Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. If they have been enjoying above average growth and are still a good value, this may not continue. We recommend evaluating whether the future of Ferrexpo is as challenging as the low price of the stock despite good growth and safe financing practices suggest. Since the professional community is pessimistic, you may want to reflect these negative opinions in light of what you find reasonable to expect for the future. If you believe this pessimistic view is transitory, you have a solid investment case based on current financial factors. ...read more




Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Ferrexpo negative

SENTIMENT METRICS May 16, 2024
ANALYST OPINION
ANALYST OPINION
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 19 (better than 19% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Ferrexpo is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Ferrexpo. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 45 (worse than 55% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50, which means that stock research experts have found something to make them more positive about investing in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in Ferrexpo. But the Professional Investors rank is low at 13, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 87% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. Market Pulse is also low at a rank of 16, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 84% of competitors). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 19 (less encouraging than 81% compared with investment alternatives), Ferrexpo has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. These are quite a few negative sentiment signals. One may want to trust the analysts that are changing their opinions. They may be early indications of better times, especially if the company is a smaller one. But If they are an extra large company, they should have more professional stockholders than are currently present. ...read more



Value Strategy: Ferrexpo Stock Price Value at the top

VALUE METRICS May 16, 2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 99 (better than 99% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Ferrexpo shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Ferrexpo. Price-to-Sales is 77 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 77% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Ferrexpo's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 97% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 92. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Ferrexpo are expected to be higher than for 100% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 100). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 99, is a buy recommendation based on Ferrexpo's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Ferrexpo based on its detailed value metrics.



Growth Strategy: Ferrexpo Growth Momentum high

GROWTH METRICS May 16, 2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Ferrexpo shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Ferrexpo. Sales Growth has a value of 100 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 100% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a value of 68 and Capital Growth with a rank of 90 means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow both profits and invested capital more than of its competitors. But Stock Returns has only a rank of 1, which means that stock returns have recently been below 99% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 85, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Ferrexpo has only one below-average growth indicator, the stock returns. This is probably the least reliable growth indicator, because it measures company and investor expectations at the same time. The three other growth indicators, which are all positive for Ferrexpo, are more reliable measures of growth momentum. For this reason, the company seems to be on a good trajectory, unless you think the current period is not representative, because of unique events that will not be repeated in the future. ...read more



Safety Strategy: Ferrexpo Debt Financing Safety very solid

SAFETY METRICS May 16, 2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE
REFINANCING
REFINANCING
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Ferrexpo has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Ferrexpo is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Ferrexpo. Leverage is at 100, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 100% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 82, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 82% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 96, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 96% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives), Ferrexpo has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more



Combined financial peformance: Ferrexpo Top Financial Performance

COMBINED PERFORMANCE May 16, 2024
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
COMBINED
COMBINED

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with investment alternatives), Ferrexpo (Steel, Switzerland) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Ferrexpo are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 99 (better than 99% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 85), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 100), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 100, is a strong buy recommendation based on Ferrexpo's financial characteristics. As the company Ferrexpo's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 99), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 85), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 100), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Ferrexpo. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. ...read more

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