December 12, 2024
Top 10 Stock Ferrexpo Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Ferrexpo – Top 10 Stock in FTSE 250 Index
Ferrexpo is listed as a top 10 stock on December 12, 2024 in the market index FTSE 250 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Two consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. While the company shows high growth, the stock price is high yet professional investor sentiment is low, which may be due to overly optimistic investor behavior, reflected in a low stock price value. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 60 (high 60% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for Ferrexpo on December 12, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Switzerland |
| Industry | Steel |
| Index | FTSE All Shares, FTSE 250, FTSE 350, Low Emissions, Dividends Europe, Human Rights, Sound Pay Europe |
| Size class | Medium |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Ferrexpo Buy
| 360 METRICS | December 12, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 7 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 93 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 92 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 25 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 60 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 60 (better than 60% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Ferrexpo are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Ferrexpo. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 93, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 93% of competitors in the same industry. In addition, the consolidated Safety Rank has a safer rank of 92 which means that the company has a financing structure that is safer than 92% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. But the consolidated Value Rank has a less desirable rank of 7 which means that the share price of Ferrexpo is on the higher side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is higher than for 93% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Sentiment Rank also has a low rank of 25, which means that professional investors are more pessimistic about the stock than for 75% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 60, Ferrexpo is better positioned than 60% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As only half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, the picture is ambiguous. Growth is above-average (Growth Rank of 93), and the company is safely financed (Safety Rank of 92). However, professional market sentiment is low(Sentiment Rank of 25). The negative market view on Ferrexpo may be due to the high stock price (low value). A growth company like this may get too expensive at one point in time. If too many investors are desperate to board the train, they may drive stock prices above reasonable levels. It is typical for growth companies to have low value ratings, because investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much more do you pay for the stock of Ferrexpo compared with alternatives? You can use the following rule of thumb: The value rank shouldn’t be lower than one hundred minus the growth rank. For example, if the growth rank is at 75, and the value rank is at 5, you should tread carefully. If the value rank is at 40, it still might be a good value if the value rank is above 60. As market sentiment is low, you should be careful with paying more than market-average for this stock and conduct further research into the company’s future growth potential. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Ferrexpo only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 25 (better than 25% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Ferrexpo is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Ferrexpo. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 41 (worse than 59% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. Worse, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 16 which means that stock research experts are getting even more pessimistic. It doesn't end with the analysts. Market Pulse is also low with a rank of 14, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the negative side when discussing this company (more negative news than for 86% of competitors). No wonder, the Professional Investors rank is only 49, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 51% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to stay away from Ferrexpo, which may be due to a small company size but just as likely because of its relatively low Sentiment Rank. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 25 (less encouraging than 75% compared with investment alternatives), Ferrexpo has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. Investors should be careful with this stock right now. Further research is required if an investment is desired, because the facts found in the professional community are all negative. ...read more
Value Strategy: Ferrexpo Stock Price Value low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 7 (worse than 93% compared with alternatives), Ferrexpo shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators where three out of four are below average for Ferrexpo. Only the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) indicates good stock value with a Price-to-Book Rank of 60, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 60% of comparable investments. All other value indicators are below the market median. Price-to-Sales is 29 which means the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 71% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Ferrexpo's revenue levels. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 60 and for the dividend yields rank which is lower than for 99% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 7, is a sell recommendation based on Ferrexpo's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Why are market participants paying such a high price for Ferrexpo, where three out of four value indicators are below par? One reason could be that the company is well financed, indicated by the high book capital level, and has a promising future that is not yet visible in reported revenues and profits. That would also explain the low dividend yield because the company needs the cash to invest in its future. If investors can verify a picture in this sense, the stock may still be a good investment, even though current company-reported financials don't fully explain current stock prices. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Ferrexpo Growth Momentum high
| GROWTH METRICS | December 12, 2024 | |||||||
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| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 87 |
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| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 14 |
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| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | 86 |
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| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 95 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 93 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 93 (better than 93% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Ferrexpo shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Ferrexpo. Sales Growth has a rank of 87 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 87% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 14% of competitors with a rank of 86, and Stock Returns with the rank of 95 is also an outperformance. Only Profit Growth is low with a rank of 14 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 86% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 93, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. All three operating growth indicators, namely revenue, profit, and capital growth, are showing improvements. This is a good indication of a company with a positive future. That might, at the same time, be the simple reason why profit growth is low. A growing company needs money and thus can't yet show high profit growth. Look out for signs in corporate communication about extra growth efforts costing time and money. If that is the case, Ferrexpo is a good growth stock. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Ferrexpo Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | December 12, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 100 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 51 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 96 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 92 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Ferrexpo has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Ferrexpo is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Ferrexpo. Leverage is at 100, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 100% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 51, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 51% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 96, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 96% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with alternatives), Ferrexpo has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Ferrexpo Top Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | December 12, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 7 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 93 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 96 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 84 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 84 (better than 84% compared with investment alternatives), Ferrexpo (Steel, Switzerland) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Ferrexpo are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 7 (worse than 93% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 93) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 92, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 84, is a strong buy recommendation based on Ferrexpo's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Ferrexpo exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 7), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 93). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 92) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). ...read more
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