July 25, 2024
Top 10 Stock ForFarmers Sell Recommendation



How to read the ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:

Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Snapshot: ForFarmers – Top 10 Stock in SDG 13: Climate Action


forfarmers.nl


ForFarmers is listed as a top 10 stock on July 25, 2024 in the market index SDG 13 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Only the Obermatt Value Rank exhibits above-average performance, which means that the stock is seen as critical by the professional community and other financial facts are below average, conveying mixed investment signals. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 14 (14% performer), Obermatt issues an overall sell recommendation for ForFarmers on July 25, 2024.


Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks


Country Netherlands
Industry Agricultural Products
Index Dividends Europe, SDG 12, SDG 13, SDG 15, SDG 2, SDG 7, Sound Pay Europe
Size class X-Large
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Top 10 Stocks ≠ most popular stocks

When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).

For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).


360° View: Obermatt 360° View ForFarmers Sell

360 METRICS July 25, 2024
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT
360° VIEW
360° VIEW

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 14 (better than 14% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock ForFarmers are critical, mostly below average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for ForFarmers. Only the consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 94, which means that the share price of ForFarmers is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is lower than for 94% of alternative stocks in the same industry. All other consolidated ranks are below average. The consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 12, which means that the company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 40, meaning the company has a riskier financing structure than 60% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, professionals are more pessimistic about the stock than for 99% of alternative investment opportunities, reflected in the consolidated Sentiment Rank of 1. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 14, ForFarmers is worse than 86% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. This means that ForFarmers shares are on the riskier side for investors. Only one of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibits above-average performance, namely the Value Rank at a level of 94. All other ranks are below average, so proceed with caution. The company has below-average growth expectations (Growth Rank of 12), a riskier financing structure than the competition (Safety Rank of 40), and the market sentiment in the professional investor community ranking at (Sentiment Rank of 1) is negative. This combination is sensitive to a crisis, because high debt levels (low safety) require growth to finance the debt burden. It’s no wonder that the investor community indicators are skeptical (low sentiment). Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this assessment. We recommend evaluating whether the future of ForFarmers is as challenging as the low price of the stock suggests. Since the professional community is pessimistic, you might need to worry about the future of ForFarmers. Only invest if you have solid reasons to believe that the low growth is temporary and the current market sentiment is an overreaction, possibly due to reputational issues in the past. ...read more




Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for ForFarmers negative

SENTIMENT METRICS July 25, 2024
ANALYST OPINION
ANALYST OPINION
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 1 (better than 1% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock ForFarmers is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for ForFarmers. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 1 (worse than 99% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. Worse, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 15 which means that stock research experts are getting even more pessimistic. It doesn't end with the analysts. Market Pulse is also low with a rank of 3, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the negative side when discussing this company (more negative news than for 97% of competitors). No wonder, the Professional Investors rank is only 26, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 74% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to stay away from ForFarmers, which may be due to a small company size but just as likely because of its relatively low Sentiment Rank. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 1 (less encouraging than 99% compared with investment alternatives), ForFarmers has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. Investors should be careful with this stock right now. Further research is required if an investment is desired, because the facts found in the professional community are all negative. ...read more



Value Strategy: ForFarmers Stock Price Value at the top

VALUE METRICS July 25, 2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 94 (better than 94% compared with alternatives) for 2024, ForFarmers shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for ForFarmers. Price-to-Sales is 93 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 93% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for ForFarmers's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 73% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 83. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of ForFarmers are expected to be higher than for 98% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 98). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 94, is a buy recommendation based on ForFarmers's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in ForFarmers based on its detailed value metrics.



Growth Strategy: ForFarmers Growth Momentum negative

GROWTH METRICS July 25, 2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 12 (better than 12% compared with alternatives), ForFarmers shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for ForFarmers. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 8, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 92% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 24, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 18. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 82% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 65, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 65% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 12, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for ForFarmers, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. ...read more



Safety Strategy: ForFarmers Debt Financing Safety below-average

SAFETY METRICS July 25, 2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE
REFINANCING
REFINANCING
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 40 (better than 40% compared with alternatives), the company ForFarmers has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of ForFarmers is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for ForFarmers and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 81 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 81% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 46, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 54% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 14, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 86% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 40 (worse than 60% compared with alternatives), ForFarmers has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of ForFarmers are on the safer side. ...read more



Combined financial peformance: ForFarmers Below-Average Financial Performance

COMBINED PERFORMANCE July 25, 2024
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
COMBINED
COMBINED

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 38 (worse than 62% compared with investment alternatives), ForFarmers (Agricultural Products, Netherlands) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of ForFarmers are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 94 (better than 94% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 12), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 40), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 38, is a hold recommendation based on ForFarmers's financial characteristics. As the company ForFarmers's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 94) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 12) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 40), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 94% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. ...read more

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