September 5, 2024
Top 10 Stock Fortum Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Fortum – Top 10 Stock in Nuclear Energy
Fortum is listed as a top 10 stock on September 05, 2024 in the market index Nuclear because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While half the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, investor sentiment is negative and growth performance is below market average, both a sign for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 59 (high 59% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for Fortum on September 05, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Finland |
| Industry | Electric Utilities |
| Index | OMX 25, Low Emissions, Dividends Europe, Nuclear |
| Size class | X-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Fortum Buy
| 360 METRICS | September 5, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 59 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 29 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 91 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 45 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 59 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 59 (better than 59% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Fortum are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half the metrics below and half above average for Fortum. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 59, which means that the share price of Fortum is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 59% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 91. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 45. Professional investors are more confident in 55% other stocks. The consolidated Growth Rank also has a low rank of 29, which means that the company is below average in terms of growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, invested capital growth, and stock returns. 71 of its competitors have better growth. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 59, Fortum is better positioned than 59% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. The picture is mixed here. The stock seems to be a good value (Value Rank of 59), and the financing structure is on the safer side (Safety Rank of 91). However, sentiment in the professional investor community is below-average (Sentiment Rank of 45), as is the growth momentum for the company (Growth Rank of 29). Since the company is good value and the share price low, it should attract investors, yet professionals are skeptical. Even though the financing structure is not as important as Value, Growth, and Sentiment, investors should still be careful with this decision and conduct further research if they are serious about investing in this company. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Fortum only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 45 (better than 45% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Fortum is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Fortum. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 8 (worse than 92% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 84, which means that stock research experts are more positive in their investment recommendations in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in Fortum. More encouragingly, the Professional Investors rank is 95, which means that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 95% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. But Market Pulse is on the lower side with a rank of 12, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the negative side when discussing this company (more negative news than for 88% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 45 (less encouraging than 55% compared with investment alternatives), Fortum has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. The sentiment signals are mixed for Fortum. While analysts and the news channels are negative, there is a change in what analysts think. Above-average institutional investors in this company support them. Sentiment signals remain mixed with analysts and news channels pessimistic, though improving, and professional investors above average. ...read more
Value Strategy: Fortum Stock Price Value better than average
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 59 (better than 59% compared with alternatives), Fortum shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Fortum. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 83% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 32 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 68% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Fortum's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 47 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 53% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 49 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 51% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 59, is a buy recommendation based on Fortum's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick Fortum? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose Fortum only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Fortum Growth Momentum low
| GROWTH METRICS | September 5, 2024 | |||||||
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| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 12 |
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| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 38 |
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| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | 30 |
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| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 91 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 29 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 29 (better than 29% compared with alternatives), Fortum shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Fortum. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 12, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 88% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 30, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 38. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 62% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 91, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 91% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 29, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for Fortum, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Fortum Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | September 5, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 74 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 89 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 67 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 91 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Fortum has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Fortum is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Fortum. Leverage is at 74, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 74% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 89, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 89% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 67, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 67% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with alternatives), Fortum has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Fortum Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | September 5, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 59 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 29 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 67 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 69 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 69 (better than 69% compared with investment alternatives), Fortum (Electric Utilities, Finland) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Fortum are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 59 (better than 59% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 91, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 29). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 69, is a buy recommendation based on Fortum's financial characteristics. As the company Fortum's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 59) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 29) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 91), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 59% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. ...read more
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