Fact based stock research
Galliford Try (LSE:GFRD)
GB00BKY40Q38
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Galliford Try stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 12 (worse than 88% compared with investment alternatives), Galliford Try (Construction & Engineering, United Kingdom) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Galliford Try are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 16 (worse than 84% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 40, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 52). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 12, is a sell recommendation based on Galliford Try's financial characteristics. As the company Galliford Try shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 16 (84% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 52% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 52). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 40 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Galliford Try, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | United Kingdom |
Industry | Construction & Engineering |
Index | FTSE All Shares, Diversity Europe |
Size class | Large |
This stock has achievements: Gold Winner CEO, Top 10 Stock.
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Galliford Try
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 23 |
|
43 |
|
63 |
|
16 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 41 |
|
95 |
|
91 |
|
52 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 17 |
|
37 |
|
23 |
|
40 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
70 |
|
100 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
71 |
|
84 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 12 (worse than 88% compared with investment alternatives), Galliford Try (Construction & Engineering, United Kingdom) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Galliford Try are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 16 (worse than 84% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 40, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 52). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 12, is a sell recommendation based on Galliford Try's financial characteristics. As the company Galliford Try shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 16 (84% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 52% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 52). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 40 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Galliford Try, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 23 |
|
43 |
|
63 |
|
16 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 41 |
|
95 |
|
91 |
|
52 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 17 |
|
37 |
|
23 |
|
40 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 21 |
|
53 |
|
56 |
|
12 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 16 (worse than 84% compared with alternatives), Galliford Try shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for Galliford Try. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 81, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 81% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Galliford Try's revenue size. The same is valid for dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 52, which means that dividends are expected to be higher than for 52% of comparable investments. On the other hand, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than for 87% of alternatives (only 13% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for the Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E) ratio, which is higher than for 83% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 16, is a sell recommendation based on Galliford Try's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a somewhat surprising picture, because it means that profits are low while dividends are high. One interpretation could be that profits are expected to increase, justifying the high dividend payments. But it could also mean that the company desperately keeps the high dividends to avoid a collapsing share price. This would be a rather dangerous constellation. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 81 |
|
89 |
|
81 |
|
81 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 27 |
|
40 |
|
53 |
|
17 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 31 |
|
52 |
|
23 |
|
13 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 68 |
|
63 |
|
92 |
|
52 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 23 |
|
43 |
|
63 |
|
16 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 52 (better than 52% compared with alternatives), Galliford Try shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Galliford Try. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 29, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 71% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 42, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 43. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 57% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 89, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 89% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 52, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for Galliford Try, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 38 |
|
65 |
|
68 |
|
29 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 22 |
|
71 |
|
76 |
|
43 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
61 |
|
75 |
|
42 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 74 |
|
79 |
|
95 |
|
89 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 41 |
|
95 |
|
91 |
|
52 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 40 (better than 40% compared with alternatives), the company Galliford Try has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Galliford Try is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Galliford Try. Leverage is at a rank of 59, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 59% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 58, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 58% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 14, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 86% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 40 (worse than 60% compared with alternatives), Galliford Try has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Galliford Try. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Galliford Try and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 90 |
|
80 |
|
60 |
|
59 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 14 |
|
15 |
|
10 |
|
14 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 13 |
|
48 |
|
39 |
|
58 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 17 |
|
37 |
|
23 |
|
40 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
87 |
|
89 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
79 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
5 |
|
94 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
95 |
|
95 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
70 |
|
100 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Galliford Try from November 14, 2024.
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