June 13, 2024
Top 10 Stock Galp Energia Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Galp Energia – Top 10 Stock in PSI-20 Index
Galp Energia is listed as a top 10 stock on June 13, 2024 in the market index PSI 20 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Two consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. The company is growing above average and professional investor sentiment is positive. Both are encouraging signals for a stock purchase decision, albeit at an above-average share price. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 47 (47% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for Galp Energia on June 13, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Portugal |
| Industry | Oil & Gas Integrated |
| Index | Low Emissions, Human Rights, PSI General, PSI 20 |
| Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Galp Energia Hold
| 360 METRICS | June 13, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 13 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 85 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 45 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 53 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 47 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 47 (better than 47% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Galp Energia are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Galp Energia. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 85, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 85% of competitors in the same industry. The consolidated Sentiment Rank also has a good rank of 53, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 53% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Value Rank has a less desirable rank of 13, which means that the share price of Galp Energia is on the higher side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is higher than for 87% of alternative stocks in the same industry. Finally, the consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 45, which means that the company has a financing structure that is riskier than those of 55% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 47, Galp Energia is worse than 53% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Only half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, so one needs to take a close look. Growth is above-average (Growth Rank of 85), and professional market sentiment is positive (Sentiment Rank of 53), but value and safety are below average. The Safety Rank is the least significant of the four consolidated ranks, because it only reflects financing practices. In the case of high growth, aggressive financing is a good thing. So the question is: How to assess below-average value against above-average growth and sentiment? Growth may be the strongest driver of the investment rationale in this case, which is reflected in institutional investors' opinions. It is typical for growth companies to have low value, as is the case here. Investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much do you sacrifice value for growth? You can use the following rule of thumb: If you take 100 minus the growth rank, you arrive at a possibly minimum level for the value rank. For example, if the growth rank is at 75, and the value rank is at 5, you should tread carefully. If the value rank is at 40, it still might be a good value if the growth rank is above 60. Sometimes market sentiment just extrapolates the past, but sometimes it reflects reality. You pay more than the market average for this stock, but it may be worth it. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Galp Energia positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Galp Energia is above average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Galp Energia. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 20 (worse than 80% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 62, which indicates a shift in stock research experts opinions for the better. In other words, they are getting more optimistic about stock investments in Galp Energia. Even better, the Professional Investors rank is 64, meaning that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 64% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. Furthermore, Market Pulse has a rank of 56, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are upbeat when discussing this company (more positive news than for 56% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 53 (more positive than 53% compared with investment alternatives), Galp Energia has a reputation among professional investors that is above-average compared with that of its competitors. While analysts are still critical of the company, some are changing their minds. In addition, the professional news channels are optimistic, and many institutional investors have already bought stock in the company. These are encouraging signals, despite the still lower level of analyst recommendations. They may be due to a problematic past, and about to change. The positive sentiment signals are stronger than the negative. ...read more
Value Strategy: Galp Energia Stock Price Value low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 13 (worse than 87% compared with alternatives), Galp Energia shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where the majority of metrics are below, and only one is above average for Galp Energia. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 52, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than 52% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning to Galp Energia's revenue size. But all other performance indicators point in a different direction. Dividend yields have a Dividend Yield rank of 34, meaning that dividends are expected to be lower than for 66% of comparable investments. Furthermore, Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than 95% of alternatives (only 5% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E), which is higher than for 93% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 13, is a sell recommendation based on Galp Energia's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since Price-to-Sales is a stable value indicator even in challenging times, investing in Galp Energia could be seen as a value investment. However, there must be a good reason for the low market-to-book rank. If the company has a typical capital investment practice, the stock may be overvalued because the profit and dividend-related performance indicators are also low. The stock is only good value if investors can expect profits and dividends to pick up in the future. Else, Galp Energia looks like an expensive investment today. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Galp Energia Growth Momentum high
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Galp Energia shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Galp Energia. Profit Growth has a rank of 56 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 56% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 70, and Stock Returns has a rank of 97 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 97% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 32 (68% of its competitors are better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 85, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Galp Energia Debt Financing Safety below-average
| SAFETY METRICS | June 13, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 24 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 41 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 78 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 45 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 45 (better than 45% compared with alternatives), the company Galp Energia has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Galp Energia is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Galp Energia. Liquidity is at 78, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 78% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 41, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 59% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 24, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 76% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 45 (worse than 55% compared with alternatives), Galp Energia has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Galp Energia Below-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | June 13, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 13 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 85 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 78 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 45 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 45 (worse than 55% compared with investment alternatives), Galp Energia (Oil & Gas Integrated, Portugal) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Galp Energia are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 13 (worse than 87% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 45, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 85). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 45, is a hold recommendation based on Galp Energia's financial characteristics. As the company Galp Energia shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 13 (87% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 85% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 85). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 45 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Galp Energia, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. ...read more
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