July 13, 2023
Top 10 Stock GAR Strong Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: GAR – Top 10 Stock in SDG 2: Zero Hunger
GAR is listed as a top 10 stock on July 13, 2023 in the market index SDG 2 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While only half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit above-average performance, the professional market sentiment is positive and it may be a solid investment proposition, especially if a growth recovery is to be expected soon. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 86 (top 86% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for GAR on July 13, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Singapore |
| Industry | Agricultural Products |
| Index | Low Emissions, Human Rights, SDG 12, SDG 15, SDG 17, SDG 2 |
| Size class | X-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View GAR Strong Buy
| 360 METRICS | July 13, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 99 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 19 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 42 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 95 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 86 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 86 (better than 86% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock GAR are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half the metrics below and half above average for GAR. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 99, which means that the share price of GAR is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is lower than for 99% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Sentiment Rank has a good rank of 95, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 95% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 19, which means that the company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, invested capital growth, and stock returns. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 42, meaning the company has a riskier financing structure than 58 comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 86, GAR is better positioned than 86% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit above-average performance, but the other half are below market levels. The company enjoys a good value (Value Rank of 99) and positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 95), but growth expectations are below-average (Growth Rank of 19) and the financing structure is on the risky side(Safety Rank of 42). This combination is rather dangerous, because high debt levels (low safety) require growth to finance the debt burden. The current low growth level may be temporary, because professionals are actually optimistic (positive sentiment). Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this assessment. Companies with less growth typically have a lower price than fast-growing competitors. Even though professional investor sentiment is strong, we recommend further evaluating whether the future of GAR is as challenging as the stock's low price suggests. Since the professional community is optimistic, the stock might just be going through a more challenging phase now, indicating that timing might be good now. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for GAR very positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 95 (better than 95% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock GAR is very positive. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all four indicators above average for GAR. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 50 (better than 50% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. Analyst Opinions Change is also positive with a rank of 50, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better and recommending investing in the company. They are getting more optimistic about stock investments in GAR. The Professional Investors rank is 95, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 95% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. Finally, Market Pulse has a rank of 95 which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the positive side when discussing this company (more positive news than for 95% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 95 (more positive than 95% compared with investment alternatives), GAR has a reputation among professional investors that is significantly higher than that of its competitors. Since all market sentiment indicators are positive, the professional community highly recommends investment in the company. Does this mean GAR stocks are a safe investment? Far from it. Even professionals make mistakes. Especially in stock investing, there is a tendency to follow the leaders. Since trees don't grow to the heavens, such positive sentiment may also be interpreted as a danger sign. A lot of optimism can often be a sign of troubles to come, albeit unforeseen by most. ...read more
Value Strategy: GAR Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 99 (better than 99% compared with alternatives) for 2023, GAR shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for GAR. Price-to-Sales is 79 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 79% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for GAR's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 97% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 97. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of GAR are expected to be higher than for 92% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 92). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 99, is a buy recommendation based on GAR's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in GAR based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: GAR Growth Momentum negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 19 (better than 19% compared with alternatives), GAR shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for GAR. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 4, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 96% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 36, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 45. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 55% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 61, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 61% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 19, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for GAR, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. ...read more
Safety Strategy: GAR Debt Financing Safety below-average
| SAFETY METRICS | July 13, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 28 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 81 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 30 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 42 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 42 (better than 42% compared with alternatives), the company GAR has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of GAR is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for GAR and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 81, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 81% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 28, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 72% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 30, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 70% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 42 (worse than 58% compared with alternatives), GAR has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for GAR are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: GAR Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | July 13, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 99 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 19 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 30 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 60 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 60 (better than 60% compared with investment alternatives), GAR (Agricultural Products, Singapore) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of GAR are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 99 (better than 99% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 19), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 42), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 60, is a buy recommendation based on GAR's financial characteristics. As the company GAR's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 99) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 19) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 42), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 99% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. ...read more
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