August 22, 2024
Top 10 Stock GAR Strong Buy Recommendation



How to read the ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:

Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Snapshot: GAR – Top 10 Stock in SDG 15: Life on Land


goldenagri.com.sg


GAR is listed as a top 10 stock on August 22, 2024 in the market index SDG 15 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While half the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, investor sentiment is below average and thus a signal for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 86 (top 86% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for GAR on August 22, 2024.


Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks


Country Singapore
Industry Agricultural Products
Index Low Emissions, Human Rights, SDG 12, SDG 15, SDG 17, SDG 2
Size class X-Large
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Top 10 Stocks ≠ most popular stocks

When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).

For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).


360° View: Obermatt 360° View GAR Strong Buy

360 METRICS August 22, 2024
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT
360° VIEW
360° VIEW

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 86 (better than 86% compared with alternatives) for 2024, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock GAR are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for GAR. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 94, which means that the share price of GAR is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 94% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 87, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 37. Professional investors are more confident in 63% other stocks. Worryingly, the company has risky financing, with a Safety rank of 39. This means 61% of comparable companies have a safer financing structure than GAR. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 86, GAR is better positioned than 86% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Even though half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, namely the Value Rank at 94 and the Growth Rank above-average at 87, the picture is still mixed. The professional investor community is skeptical, with the Sentiment Rank below-average at 37. In addition, the company financing structure is on the riskier side (Safety Rank of 39). Since the company is good value and the share price low, it should attract investors, yet professionals are skeptical. One may be tempted by above-average growth, but that could also change quickly, as past performance is not a good indicator of future performance. Since the financing structure is on the risky side, investors should be careful with this decision and conduct further research if they are serious about investing in this company. ...read more




Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for GAR only reserved

SENTIMENT METRICS August 22, 2024
ANALYST OPINION
ANALYST OPINION
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 37 (better than 37% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock GAR is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for GAR. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 14 (worse than 86% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. Worse, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 28, which means that stock research experts are getting even more pessimistic. Other sentiment indicators are positive: The Professional Investors rank is 59, which means that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 59% of alternative investment opportunities. So, pros tend to favor investing in this company. In addition, Market Pulse has a rank of 75, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be positive when discussing this company (more positive news than for 75% of competitors). While stock research analysts are getting ever more critical, many professional investors are committed to GAR and the professional news channels are on the positive side. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 37 (less encouraging than 63% compared with investment alternatives), GAR has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. This is an ambiguous picture: analysts are negative and getting even more critical, while the news in the market is positive. Who should investors believe? This is a difficult question in such a situation. Investors should proceed cautiously and verify not only the financial performance in the Obermatt Value, Growth and Safety Ranks but also independent news coverage of the company. ...read more



Value Strategy: GAR Stock Price Value at the top

VALUE METRICS August 22, 2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 94 (better than 94% compared with alternatives) for 2024, GAR shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for GAR. Price-to-Sales is 78 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 78% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for GAR's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 95% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 93. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of GAR are expected to be higher than for 72% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 72). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 94, is a buy recommendation based on GAR's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in GAR based on its detailed value metrics.



Growth Strategy: GAR Growth Momentum high

GROWTH METRICS August 22, 2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with alternatives) for 2024, GAR shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for GAR. Profit Growth has a rank of 100 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 100% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 73, and Stock Returns has a rank of 51 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 51% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 27 (73% of its competitors are better). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 87, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. ...read more



Safety Strategy: GAR Debt Financing Safety below-average

SAFETY METRICS August 22, 2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE
REFINANCING
REFINANCING
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 39 (better than 39% compared with alternatives), the company GAR has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of GAR is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for GAR and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 95, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 95% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 22, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 78% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 15, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 85% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 39 (worse than 61% compared with alternatives), GAR has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for GAR are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. ...read more



Combined financial peformance: GAR Top Financial Performance

COMBINED PERFORMANCE August 22, 2024
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
COMBINED
COMBINED

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 94 (better than 94% compared with investment alternatives), GAR (Agricultural Products, Singapore) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of GAR are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 94 (better than 94% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 87) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 39), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 94, is a strong buy recommendation based on GAR's financial characteristics. As the company GAR's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 94) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 87), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 39) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. ...read more

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