Fact based stock research
Gibson Energy (TSX:GEI)
CA3748252069
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Gibson Energy stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 3 (worse than 97% compared with investment alternatives), Gibson Energy (Oil & Gas Transportation, Canada) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Gibson Energy are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 55 (better than 55% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 17), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 9), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 3, is a sell recommendation based on Gibson Energy's financial characteristics. As the company Gibson Energy's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 55) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 17) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 9), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 55% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | Canada |
Industry | Oil & Gas Transportation |
Index | TSX Composite |
Size class | X-Large |
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Gibson Energy
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 70 |
|
27 |
|
76 |
|
55 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 11 |
|
7 |
|
25 |
|
17 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 57 |
|
59 |
|
67 |
|
9 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
83 |
|
72 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
37 |
|
78 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 3 (worse than 97% compared with investment alternatives), Gibson Energy (Oil & Gas Transportation, Canada) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Gibson Energy are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 55 (better than 55% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 17), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 9), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 3, is a sell recommendation based on Gibson Energy's financial characteristics. As the company Gibson Energy's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 55) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 17) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 9), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 55% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 70 |
|
27 |
|
76 |
|
55 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 11 |
|
7 |
|
25 |
|
17 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 57 |
|
59 |
|
67 |
|
9 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 43 |
|
19 |
|
63 |
|
3 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), Gibson Energy shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for Gibson Energy. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 78, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 78% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Gibson Energy's revenue size. The same is valid for dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 86, which means that dividends are expected to be higher than for 86% of comparable investments. On the other hand, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than for 88% of alternatives (only 12% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for the Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E) ratio, which is higher than for 64% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 55, is a buy recommendation based on Gibson Energy's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a somewhat surprising picture, because it means that profits are low while dividends are high. One interpretation could be that profits are expected to increase, justifying the high dividend payments. But it could also mean that the company desperately keeps the high dividends to avoid a collapsing share price. This would be a rather dangerous constellation. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 86 |
|
78 |
|
83 |
|
78 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 32 |
|
17 |
|
35 |
|
36 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 1 |
|
5 |
|
23 |
|
12 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 96 |
|
63 |
|
85 |
|
86 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 70 |
|
27 |
|
76 |
|
55 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 17 (better than 17% compared with alternatives), Gibson Energy shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Gibson Energy. Profit Growth has a rank of 55, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 55% of its competitors. This is a good sign for shareholders, which is confirmed by an above-average Stock Returns rank of 65 (above 65% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has a below the median rank of 6, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 94% of its competitors, and Capital Growth also has a lower rank of 16. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 17, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Because revenues and invested capital are the more solid growth indicators, the positive development on the profit side is less relevant. It may have been caused by cost-cutting, which may be a negative growth indicator. Finally, the above-average stock returns recently are a thing of the past and not a good indicator of future returns. Investors should be confident that the cost-cutting initiative leading to higher profits is to benefit the company's future. If not, there is little growth momentum, and investment is only advisable if the Value Ranks suggest a good investment timing for Gibson Energy. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 24 |
|
6 |
|
6 |
|
6 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 63 |
|
18 |
|
62 |
|
55 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
24 |
|
74 |
|
16 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 27 |
|
17 |
|
25 |
|
65 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 11 |
|
7 |
|
25 |
|
17 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 9 (better than 9% compared with alternatives), the company Gibson Energy has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Gibson Energy is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Gibson Energy. Liquidity is at 36, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 64% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 12, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 88% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 15 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 85% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 9 (worse than 91% compared with alternatives), Gibson Energy has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of Gibson Energy because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 46 |
|
27 |
|
20 |
|
12 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 71 |
|
73 |
|
55 |
|
15 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 54 |
|
59 |
|
54 |
|
36 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 57 |
|
59 |
|
67 |
|
9 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
13 |
|
65 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
64 |
|
38 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
97 |
|
41 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
82 |
|
82 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
83 |
|
72 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Gibson Energy from December 19, 2024.
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