August 15, 2024
Top 10 Stock Gold Fields Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Gold Fields – Top 10 Stock in Copper Mining and Production
Gold Fields is listed as a top 10 stock on August 15, 2024 in the market index Copper because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Only one consolidated Obermatt Rank is above-average. The company is growing above average, but all other facts speak against a stock purchase, especially the low market sentiment by professional investors. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 42 (42% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for Gold Fields on August 15, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | South Africa |
| Industry | Gold Production |
| Index | Low Emissions, Copper, Energy Efficient, Human Rights, Gold, Low Waste, Recycling, Water Efficiency, JSE All Shares |
| Size class | X-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Gold Fields Hold
| 360 METRICS | August 15, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 36 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 77 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 39 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 38 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 42 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 42 (better than 42% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Gold Fields are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Gold Fields. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 77, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. It ranks higher than 77% of competitors in the same industry. The other indicators are below average, namely the Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks.The Value Rank at 36 means that the share price of Gold Fields is on the high side compared with its peers regarding revenues, profits, and invested capital. The stock price is higher than for 64% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 39, which means that the company has a riskier financing structure than 61% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. The consolidated Sentiment Rank also has a low rank of 38, indicating professional investors are more pessimistic about the stock than for 62% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 42, Gold Fields is worse than 58% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As only one of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibits excellent performance, namely the above-average growth (Growth Rank of 77), it is a riskier stock investment proposition. Aside from the critical professional market sentiment (Sentiment Rank of 38), the company is rather risky when it comes to financing (Safety Rank of 39). The negative market view on Gold Fields may be due to the high stock price (low value). A growth company like this may get too expensive at one point in time. If too many investors are desperate to join the party, they may drive stock prices above reasonable levels. While it is typical for growth companies to have low value, because investors are willing to pay more for companies that are expected to have high growth, the crucial question is: how much more do you pay for the stock of Gold Fields compared with alternatives? You can use the following rule of thumb: The value rank shouldn’t be lower than one minus the growth rank. For example, if the growth rank is at 75, and the value rank is at 5, you should tread carefully. If the value rank is at 40, it still might be a good value (even though it is lower than 50). As market sentiment is critical, you should be careful with paying more than market-average for this stock and conduct further research into the company's future growth potential. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Gold Fields only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 38 (better than 38% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Gold Fields is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half the indicators below and the other half above average for Gold Fields. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 28 (worse than 72% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. Worse, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 43, which means that stock research experts are getting more pessimistic. It doesn't end with the analysts. Market Pulse is also low with a rank of 25, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 75% of competitors). On the upside, the Professional Investors rank is 90, which means that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 90% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. This could be due to a large company size, which could contribute to the higher share of professional investors in the company. If this is not the case, the low sentiment ranks are more challenging to explain. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 38 (less encouraging than 62% compared with investment alternatives), Gold Fields has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. Should the company be on the smaller side, the presence of professional investors could be reassuring. That would make Gold Fields stock something like a hidden gem. Investors should make sure with further research that this is true, because all other sentiment indicators are negative which is a sign for caution. ...read more
Value Strategy: Gold Fields Stock Price Value below-average critical
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 36 (worse than 64% compared with alternatives), Gold Fields shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Gold Fields. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 54 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 54% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Gold Fields's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 33, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 33% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than 73% of alternatives (only 27% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than 23% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 36, is a hold recommendation based on Gold Fields's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high in respect to expected revenues, it means that the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than pay it out to shareholders, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Gold Fields Growth Momentum high
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 77 (better than 77% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Gold Fields shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Gold Fields. Sales Growth has a rank of 96 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 96% of its competitors. Both Profit Growth, with a rank of 71, and Stock Returns, with a rank of 54, are also above average. But Capital Growth only has a rank of 32, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 68% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 77, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That may be a good sign if the company is already well positioned and doesn't require more investments at this time. They may focus on growing the top (revenues) and bottom (profits) lines, recently rewarded with above-average stock returns for shareholders. But it may also be a sign of danger as the company is falling back with capital investment activities concerning competition. This requires further analysis of corporate communications. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Gold Fields Debt Financing Safety below-average
| SAFETY METRICS | August 15, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 48 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 17 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 71 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 39 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 39 (better than 39% compared with alternatives), the company Gold Fields has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Gold Fields is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Gold Fields. Liquidity is at 71, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 71% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 17, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 83% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 48, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 52% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 39 (worse than 61% compared with alternatives), Gold Fields has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Gold Fields Below-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | August 15, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 36 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 77 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 71 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 44 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 44 (worse than 56% compared with investment alternatives), Gold Fields (Gold Production, South Africa) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Gold Fields are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 36 (worse than 64% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 39, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 77). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 44, is a hold recommendation based on Gold Fields's financial characteristics. As the company Gold Fields shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 36 (64% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 77% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 77). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 39 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Gold Fields, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. ...read more
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