Fact based stock research
Grafton (LSE:GFTU)
IE00B00MZ448
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Grafton stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 56 (better than 56% compared with investment alternatives), Grafton (Trading & Distribution, Ireland) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Grafton are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 42 (worse than 58% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 44) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 71), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 56, is a buy recommendation based on Grafton's financial characteristics. As the company Grafton's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 42) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 44), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 71) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | Ireland |
Industry | Trading & Distribution |
Index | FTSE All Shares, FTSE 250, FTSE 350, Sound Pay Europe |
Size class | Large |
This stock has achievements: Insight 2019-03-08.
26-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Grafton
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 72 |
|
22 |
|
42 |
|
42 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 93 |
|
29 |
|
43 |
|
44 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 75 |
|
38 |
|
62 |
|
71 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
59 |
|
76 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
10 |
|
57 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 56 (better than 56% compared with investment alternatives), Grafton (Trading & Distribution, Ireland) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Grafton are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 42 (worse than 58% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 44) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 71), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 56, is a buy recommendation based on Grafton's financial characteristics. As the company Grafton's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 42) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 44), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 71) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 72 |
|
22 |
|
42 |
|
42 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 93 |
|
29 |
|
43 |
|
44 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 75 |
|
38 |
|
62 |
|
71 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 98 |
|
1 |
|
30 |
|
56 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 42 (worse than 58% compared with alternatives), Grafton shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Grafton. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 58% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 41 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 59% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Grafton's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 34 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 66% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 49 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 51% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 42, is a hold recommendation based on Grafton's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick Grafton? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose Grafton only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 49 |
|
38 |
|
43 |
|
41 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 94 |
|
36 |
|
29 |
|
34 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 48 |
|
1 |
|
61 |
|
49 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 32 |
|
61 |
|
63 |
|
58 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 72 |
|
22 |
|
42 |
|
42 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 44 (better than 44% compared with alternatives), Grafton shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Grafton. Sales Growth has a rank of 85 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 85% of its competitors. Stock Returns are also above average with a rank of 65. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 13, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 87% of its competitors. Profit Growth is also low, with a rank of only 23, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits below average. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 44, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is a surprising picture, as the messages from the operating growth indicators of revenues, profits, and invested capital are mixed, while stock returns are above average. It may indicate new intellectual properties, such as brand improvement or a strong market position that shows in revenues but not in the capital. The low profit-growth rate may indicate an early phase where costs are still high, and revenues don't fully cover upfront investments or fixed costs. The positive investor outlook with a 65% peer outperformance is reaffirmed in this case which may be a good sign for an investment into a well-protected high-growth company. This fact needs to be confirmed by researching the company website and press. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 81 |
|
45 |
|
23 |
|
85 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 50 |
|
45 |
|
23 |
|
23 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
6 |
|
73 |
|
13 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 80 |
|
59 |
|
73 |
|
65 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 93 |
|
29 |
|
43 |
|
44 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 71 (better than 71% compared with alternatives), the company Grafton has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Grafton is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for Grafton.Leverage is at 76, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 76% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 63, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 63% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 47, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 53% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 71 (better than 71% compared with alternatives), Grafton has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. Investors should compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before deciding. They may also want to investigate why cash flows are expected to be low, making debt service for Grafton more challenging. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 56 |
|
43 |
|
68 |
|
76 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 62 |
|
77 |
|
83 |
|
63 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 82 |
|
27 |
|
30 |
|
47 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 75 |
|
38 |
|
62 |
|
71 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
75 |
|
80 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
92 |
|
50 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
13 |
|
13 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
54 |
|
88 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
59 |
|
76 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Grafton from December 26, 2024.
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