June 6, 2024
Top 10 Stock HDFC Life Insurance Sell Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: HDFC Life Insurance – Top 10 Stock in Good Governance in Growth Markets
HDFC Life Insurance is listed as a top 10 stock on June 06, 2024 in the market index Good Governace Growth Markets because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Only one consolidated Obermatt Rank is above-average. The company is safely financed, but all other facts speak against a stock purchase, especially the low market sentiment by professional investors. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 16 (16% performer), Obermatt issues an overall sell recommendation for HDFC Life Insurance on June 06, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | India |
| Industry | Life & Health Insurance |
| Index | Good Governace Growth Markets, CNX Nifty 50 |
| Size class | X-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View HDFC Life Insurance Sell
| 360 METRICS | June 6, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 28 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 41 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 100 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 42 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 16 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 16 (better than 16% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock HDFC Life Insurance are critical, mostly below average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for HDFC Life Insurance. The only rank that is above average is the consolidated Safety Rank at 100, which means that the company has a financing structure that is safer than those of 100% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. But the Value, Growth and Sentiment Ranks are all below average. The consolidated Value Rank has a less desirable rank of 28, which means that the share price of HDFC Life Insurance is on the high side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. The consolidated Growth Rank also has a low rank of 41, which implies that the company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. Finally, the consolidated Sentiment Rank is also low at a rank of 42, which means that professional investors are more pessimistic about the stock than for 58% of alternative investment opportunities. While Safety is strong, it’s not the most critical indicator, so we suggest proceeding with caution if you are considering this stock. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 16, HDFC Life Insurance is worse than 84% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. This means that HDFC Life Insurance shares are on the riskier side for investors. As only the financing structure, namely the Safety Rank, is on the safer side and all other consolidated Obermatt Ranks are below-average, this is a riskier stock investment proposition. This is especially the case, since professional investor sentiment, the consolidated Obermatt Sentiment Rank, is also low at 42. The negative market view on HDFC Life Insurance may be the high stock price (low value) or the low level of growth. This is a problem. As the Safety Rank is the least significant of the four consolidated Obermatt Ranks, we cannot identify enough positive facts that are visible today to make a case for this stock investment. The company may have a strong future which would justify the high stock price, but this is not visible from investor behavior today. As market sentiment is critical, you should be careful with paying more than market-average for this stock, and conduct further research into the company's future growth potential. Prudent investors may only want to invest a smaller portion of their wealth in such situations. Young investors can carry more risk but should still thrive for sufficient diversification. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for HDFC Life Insurance only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 42 (better than 42% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock HDFC Life Insurance is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for HDFC Life Insurance. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 87 (better than 87% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. Market Pulse is also positive with a rank of 57, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are positive when discussing this company (more positive news than for 57% of competitors). But Analyst Opinions Change is negative with a below 50 rank of 45, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the worse in recommending the company. In other words, they are getting more critical of investments in HDFC Life Insurance. There are also only so many institutional investors holding company stock with a Professional Investors rank of 6, which means that, currently, professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 94% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 42 (less encouraging than 58% compared with investment alternatives), HDFC Life Insurance has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. The signals are ambivalent. The positive news in the market contradicts the negative change in analyst recommendations. Since the overall analyst recommendations are still above average, the stock may be safer for investing, especially if it is not an extra-large company where Pros tend to be less present. In such a case, the Pro Investor rank is not a problem. ...read more
Value Strategy: HDFC Life Insurance Stock Price Value below-average critical
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 28 (worse than 72% compared with alternatives), HDFC Life Insurance shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where the majority of metrics are below, and only one is above average for HDFC Life Insurance. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 78, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than 78% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning to HDFC Life Insurance's revenue size. But all other performance indicators point in a different direction. Dividend yields have a Dividend Yield rank of 24, meaning that dividends are expected to be lower than for 76% of comparable investments. Furthermore, Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than 97% of alternatives (only 3% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E), which is higher than for 91% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 28, is a hold recommendation based on HDFC Life Insurance's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since Price-to-Sales is a stable value indicator even in challenging times, investing in HDFC Life Insurance could be seen as a value investment. However, there must be a good reason for the low market-to-book rank. If the company has a typical capital investment practice, the stock may be overvalued because the profit and dividend-related performance indicators are also low. The stock is only good value if investors can expect profits and dividends to pick up in the future. Else, HDFC Life Insurance looks like an expensive investment today. ...read more
Growth Strategy: HDFC Life Insurance Growth Momentum low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 41 (better than 41% compared with alternatives), HDFC Life Insurance shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half of the indicators are below and half above average for HDFC Life Insurance. Profit Growth, with a rank of 85 (better than 85% of its competitors), and Capital Growth, with a rank of 69, are both positive, which is a healthy sign for positive development. But Sales Growth has only a rank of 4, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 96% of its competitors, and Stock Returns are at a rank of 27. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 41, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Stock returns that are a thing of the past can be less of a problem. Below-average revenue growth may be caused by divestments of underperforming businesses. If that is the case, then the positive developments of profit and capital growth are signs of a company with growth potential. If these are the reasons, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. ...read more
Safety Strategy: HDFC Life Insurance Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | June 6, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 79 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 95 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 82 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 100 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2022, the company HDFC Life Insurance has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of HDFC Life Insurance is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for HDFC Life Insurance. Leverage is at 79, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 79% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 95, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 95% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 82, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 82% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives), HDFC Life Insurance has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: HDFC Life Insurance Top Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | June 6, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 28 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 41 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 82 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 96 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with investment alternatives), HDFC Life Insurance (Life & Health Insurance, India) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of HDFC Life Insurance are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 28 (worse than 72% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 41) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 100), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 96, is a strong buy recommendation based on HDFC Life Insurance's financial characteristics. As the company HDFC Life Insurance's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 28) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 41), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 100) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. ...read more
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