September 26, 2024
Top 10 Stock HDFC Life Insurance Sell Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: HDFC Life Insurance – Top 10 Stock in Nifty 50 India Index CNX Nifty 50
HDFC Life Insurance is listed as a top 10 stock on September 26, 2024 in the market index CNX Nifty 50 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Two consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. While the company shows high growth, the stock price is high yet professional investor sentiment is low, which may be due to overly optimistic investor behavior, reflected in a low stock price value. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 16 (16% performer), Obermatt issues an overall sell recommendation for HDFC Life Insurance on September 26, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | India |
| Industry | Life & Health Insurance |
| Index | Good Governace Growth Markets, CNX Nifty 50 |
| Size class | X-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View HDFC Life Insurance Sell
| 360 METRICS | September 26, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 21 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 67 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 100 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 47 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 16 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 16 (better than 16% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock HDFC Life Insurance are critical, mostly below average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for HDFC Life Insurance. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 67, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 67% of competitors in the same industry. In addition, the consolidated Safety Rank has a safer rank of 100 which means that the company has a financing structure that is safer than 100% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. But the consolidated Value Rank has a less desirable rank of 21 which means that the share price of HDFC Life Insurance is on the higher side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is higher than for 79% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Sentiment Rank also has a low rank of 47, which means that professional investors are more pessimistic about the stock than for 53% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 16, HDFC Life Insurance is worse than 84% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. This means that HDFC Life Insurance shares are on the riskier side for investors. As only half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, the picture is ambiguous. Growth is above-average (Growth Rank of 67), and the company is safely financed (Safety Rank of 100). However, professional market sentiment is low(Sentiment Rank of 47). The negative market view on HDFC Life Insurance may be due to the high stock price (low value). A growth company like this may get too expensive at one point in time. If too many investors are desperate to board the train, they may drive stock prices above reasonable levels. It is typical for growth companies to have low value ratings, because investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much more do you pay for the stock of HDFC Life Insurance compared with alternatives? You can use the following rule of thumb: The value rank shouldn’t be lower than one hundred minus the growth rank. For example, if the growth rank is at 75, and the value rank is at 5, you should tread carefully. If the value rank is at 40, it still might be a good value if the value rank is above 60. As market sentiment is low, you should be careful with paying more than market-average for this stock and conduct further research into the company’s future growth potential. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for HDFC Life Insurance only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 47 (better than 47% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock HDFC Life Insurance is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all but one indicator above average for HDFC Life Insurance. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 87 (better than 87% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. In addition, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50, which means that currently, stock research experts are getting even more optimistic. Obermatt Market Pulse further supports this with a rank of 71, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are generally positive when discussing this company (more positive news than for 71% of competitors). But there are few stock holdings by institutional investors. The Professional Investors rank is low at 1, which means that currently, professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 99% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 47 (less encouraging than 53% compared with investment alternatives), HDFC Life Insurance has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. Not having too many professionals invested in HDFC Life Insurance may be less of an issue, especially if the stock is from a smaller company where professionals typically invest less. It is natural for professional investors to focus on large and extra-large companies, as they provide more safety. Smaller companies attract fewer professionals in the shareholder community. Overall, the signals from the professionals are still quite favorable for investments in HDFC Life Insurance. ...read more
Value Strategy: HDFC Life Insurance Stock Price Value low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 21 (worse than 79% compared with alternatives), HDFC Life Insurance shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where the majority of metrics are below, and only one is above average for HDFC Life Insurance. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 76, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than 76% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning to HDFC Life Insurance's revenue size. But all other performance indicators point in a different direction. Dividend yields have a Dividend Yield rank of 20, meaning that dividends are expected to be lower than for 80% of comparable investments. Furthermore, Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than 95% of alternatives (only 5% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E), which is higher than for 93% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 21, is a sell recommendation based on HDFC Life Insurance's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since Price-to-Sales is a stable value indicator even in challenging times, investing in HDFC Life Insurance could be seen as a value investment. However, there must be a good reason for the low market-to-book rank. If the company has a typical capital investment practice, the stock may be overvalued because the profit and dividend-related performance indicators are also low. The stock is only good value if investors can expect profits and dividends to pick up in the future. Else, HDFC Life Insurance looks like an expensive investment today. ...read more
Growth Strategy: HDFC Life Insurance Growth Momentum good
| GROWTH METRICS | September 26, 2024 | |||||||
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| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 74 |
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| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 78 |
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| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | 67 |
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| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 29 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 67 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), HDFC Life Insurance shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for HDFC Life Insurance. Sales Growth has a value of 74 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 74% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a value of 78 and Capital Growth with a rank of 67 means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow both profits and invested capital more than of its competitors. But Stock Returns has only a rank of 29, which means that stock returns have recently been below 71% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 67, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. HDFC Life Insurance has only one below-average growth indicator, the stock returns. This is probably the least reliable growth indicator, because it measures company and investor expectations at the same time. The three other growth indicators, which are all positive for HDFC Life Insurance, are more reliable measures of growth momentum. For this reason, the company seems to be on a good trajectory, unless you think the current period is not representative, because of unique events that will not be repeated in the future. ...read more
Safety Strategy: HDFC Life Insurance Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | September 26, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 79 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 95 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 80 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 100 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2022, the company HDFC Life Insurance has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of HDFC Life Insurance is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for HDFC Life Insurance. Leverage is at 79, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 79% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 95, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 95% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 80, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 80% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives), HDFC Life Insurance has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: HDFC Life Insurance Top Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | September 26, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 21 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 67 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 80 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 96 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with investment alternatives), HDFC Life Insurance (Life & Health Insurance, India) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of HDFC Life Insurance are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 21 (worse than 79% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 67) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 100, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 96, is a strong buy recommendation based on HDFC Life Insurance's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company HDFC Life Insurance exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 21), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 67). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 100) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). ...read more
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