Fact based stock research
Heiwa Real Estate (TSE:8803)

JP3834800009

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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Heiwa Real Estate stock research in summary

heiwa-net.co.jp

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 21 (worse than 79% compared with investment alternatives), Heiwa Real Estate (Real Estate: Diversified Operations, Japan) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Heiwa Real Estate are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 45 (worse than 55% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 39), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 19), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 21, is a sell recommendation based on Heiwa Real Estate's financial characteristics. As the company Heiwa Real Estate's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 45), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 39), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 19), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	45
Growth Rank	39
Safety Rank	19
Combined Rank	21

Country	Japan
Industry	Real Estate: Diversified Operations
Index
Size class	Medium

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Heiwa Real Estate

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	58	55	67	45
GROWTH
GROWTH	79	17	21	39
SAFETY
SAFETY	15	23	21	19
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	14	83	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	5	43	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Heiwa Real Estate is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	58	55	67	45
GROWTH
GROWTH	79	17	21	39
SAFETY
SAFETY	15	23	21	19
COMBINED
COMBINED	56	17	15	21

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Heiwa Real Estate the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 45 (worse than 55% compared with alternatives), Heiwa Real Estate shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators where three out of four are below average for Heiwa Real Estate. Only the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) indicates good stock value with a Price-to-Book Rank of 59, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 59% of comparable investments. All other value indicators are below the market median. Price-to-Sales is 34 which means the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 66% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Heiwa Real Estate's revenue levels. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 59 and for the dividend yields rank which is lower than for 58% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 45, is a hold recommendation based on Heiwa Real Estate's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Why are market participants paying such a high price for Heiwa Real Estate, where three out of four value indicators are below par? One reason could be that the company is well financed, indicated by the high book capital level, and has a promising future that is not yet visible in reported revenues and profits. That would also explain the low dividend yield because the company needs the cash to invest in its future. If investors can verify a picture in this sense, the stock may still be a good investment, even though current company-reported financials don't fully explain current stock prices. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	55	48	39	34
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	60	41	40	43
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	46	67	69	59
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	60	42	42	42
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	58	55	67	45

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Heiwa Real Estate; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 39 (better than 39% compared with alternatives), Heiwa Real Estate shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Heiwa Real Estate. Sales Growth has a rank of 77 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 77% of its competitors. Stock Returns are also above average with a rank of 51. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 16, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 84% of its competitors. Profit Growth is also low, with a rank of only 23, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits below average. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 39, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is a surprising picture, as the messages from the operating growth indicators of revenues, profits, and invested capital are mixed, while stock returns are above average. It may indicate new intellectual properties, such as brand improvement or a strong market position that shows in revenues but not in the capital. The low profit-growth rate may indicate an early phase where costs are still high, and revenues don't fully cover upfront investments or fixed costs. The positive investor outlook with a 51% peer outperformance is reaffirmed in this case which may be a good sign for an investment into a well-protected high-growth company. This fact needs to be confirmed by researching the company website and press. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	74	1	29	77
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	55	46	18	23
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	36	61	16
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	75	53	27	51
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	79	17	21	39

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Heiwa Real Estate.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 19 (better than 19% compared with alternatives), the company Heiwa Real Estate has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Heiwa Real Estate is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Heiwa Real Estate. Liquidity is at 55, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 55% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 26, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 74% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 28, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 72% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 19 (worse than 81% compared with alternatives), Heiwa Real Estate has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	17	22	25	28
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	55	39	39	26
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	33	52	51	55
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	15	23	21	19

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Heiwa Real Estate and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	72	50	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	9	89	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	52	95	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	24	26	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	14	83	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Heiwa Real Estate.
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