Fact based stock research
Hilton Grand Vacations (NYSE:HGV)

US43283X1054

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Hilton Grand Vacations stock research in summary

hiltongrandvacations.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 76 (better than 76% compared with investment alternatives), Hilton Grand Vacations (Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Hilton Grand Vacations are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 73, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 43). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 76, is a strong buy recommendation based on Hilton Grand Vacations's financial characteristics. As the company Hilton Grand Vacations's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 61) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 43) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 73), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 61% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	61
Growth Rank	43
Safety Rank	73
Combined Rank	76

Country	USA
Industry	Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Index
Size class	X-Large

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Hilton Grand Vacations

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	12	57	58	61
GROWTH
GROWTH	100	83	57	43
SAFETY
SAFETY	38	73	73	73
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	40	49	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	71	63	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Hilton Grand Vacations is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	12	57	58	61
GROWTH
GROWTH	100	83	57	43
SAFETY
SAFETY	38	73	73	73
COMBINED
COMBINED	50	76	76	76

Last update of combined financial performance: 6-Oct-2022. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Hilton Grand Vacations the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% compared with alternatives), Hilton Grand Vacations shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half are above average for Hilton Grand Vacations. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 64, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 64% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Hilton Grand Vacations's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 83% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 1 (dividends are expected to be higher than for 1% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 53% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for Hilton Grand Vacations to 47. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 61, is a buy recommendation based on Hilton Grand Vacations's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner on assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities, or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the low Dividend Yield is also explained as such companies tend to invest their income into market development. The other good value ranks for Sales and Profits are encouraging indicators for the stock price value. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	47	50	47	64
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	17	73	83	83
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	24	62	59	47
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	1	1	1
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	12	57	58	61

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Hilton Grand Vacations; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 43 (better than 43% compared with alternatives), Hilton Grand Vacations shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Hilton Grand Vacations. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 80, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 22% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 47 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 53% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 22 and Stock Returns with a rank of 45 are also low (below 55% of alternative investments). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 43, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for Hilton Grand Vacations is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	89	85	27	47
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	96	45	22
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	4	100	80
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	98	79	41	45
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	100	83	57	43

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Hilton Grand Vacations.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 73 (better than 73% compared with alternatives), the company Hilton Grand Vacations has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Hilton Grand Vacations is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Hilton Grand Vacations. Leverage is at 52, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 52% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 73, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 73% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 77, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 77% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 73 (better than 73% compared with alternatives), Hilton Grand Vacations has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Hilton Grand Vacations but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	35	20	58	52
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	69	73	73	73
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	30	45	76	77
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	38	73	73	73

Last update of Safety Rank: 6-Oct-2022. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Hilton Grand Vacations and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	87	28	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	10	88	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	26	23	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	40	49	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Hilton Grand Vacations.
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