June 1, 2023
Top 10 Stock Hoya Strong Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Hoya – Top 10 Stock in Tokyo Stock Exchange TOPIX 100
Hoya is listed as a top 10 stock on June 01, 2023 in the market index TOPIX 100 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Two consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. The company is safely financed and the professional investor sentiment is positive. Both are encouraging signals for a stock purchase decision, albeit at an above-average share price. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 77 (top 77% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for Hoya on June 01, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Japan |
| Industry | Health Care Supplies |
| Index | TOPIX 100, Water Efficiency |
| Size class | X-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° Assessment Hoya Strong Buy
| 360 METRICS | June 1, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 28 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 33 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 96 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 83 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 77 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 77 (better than 77% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Hoya are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half below and half above average for Hoya. The consolidated Sentiment Rank has a good rank of 83, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 83% of alternative investment opportunities. It also rates well regarding its financing structure, with the consolidated Safety Rank at 96 or better than 96% of its peers when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. But the stock is expensive and expects low growth. The consolidated Value Rank is only 28, meaning that the share price of Hoya is on the high side, compared with indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. The company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, invested capital growth,and stock returns, with its Growth Rank at 33. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a 360° View of 77, Hoya is better than 77% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As only half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, namely the positive professional market sentiment (Sentiment Rank of 83) and safe financing practices (Safety Rank of 96), the case for investing in this stock needs further thought. The Value and the Safety Ranks are below average. The Safety Rank is the least critical of the four consolidated ranks, because it only reflects financing practices. So the question is: How to assess below-average value against above-average sentiment? This may be a case where growth is in the future, not yet reflected in current performance. Companies that might fall into this category are those with intellectual property, such as technology and pharmaceutical companies. In early phases, they are expensive relative to their size and have a lot of capital on their books, as is the case here. Investors expect a better future and are willing to pay a higher price than is warranted by the current company size. These higher prices drive stock price value down in the short term. In this case, future growth may be the strongest driver of the investment case, reflected by institutional investors' opinions. With a weak Value Rank, the question is how much to sacrifice value at the cost of positive sentiment. Sometimes market sentiment is just hype, but sometimes it is right. You pay more than market-average for this stock, but it may be worth it, if the future of Hoyạ is bright. Prudent investors may only want to invest a smaller portion of their wealth in such situations. Young investors can carry more risk but should still thrive for sufficient diversification. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Hoya very positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 83 (better than 83% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Hoya is very positive. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators where all but one are above average for Hoya. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 72 (better than 72% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. The Professional Investors rank is also good at 93, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 93% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. In addition, Market Pulse has a rank of 62 which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the positive side when discussing this company (more positive news than for 62% of competitors). But Analyst Opinions Change has a below-average rank of 41, which means that stock research experts are currently changing their opinions for the worse when it comes to recommending this stock. In other words, they are getting more critical of investments in Hoya. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 83 (more positive than 83% compared with investment alternatives), Hoya has a reputation among professional investors that is significantly higher than that of its competitors. This is an early sign of caution, even if the stock has significantly appreciated. If analysts change their opinions, the stock may become too expensive. If the price is on the way down, the trend may continue. This may be a stock with a good reputation and history, but it may have reached its breaking point by now. Investors should look at the Value Ranks as well. If they indicate trouble, it might just materialize in the future. ...read more
Value Strategy: Hoya Stock Price Value below-average critical
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 28 (worse than 72% compared with alternatives), Hoya shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Hoya. Price-to-Sales is 17 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 83% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Hoya's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 17, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Hoya. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 28 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 67% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 28, is a HOLD recommendation based on Hoya's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Hoya? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Hoya? It's risky, and even if it continues to grow because of popular demand, it will most likely return to what it's worth. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is reasonable for the company to dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Hoya may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Hoya Growth Momentum low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 33 (better than 33% compared with alternatives), Hoya shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Hoya. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 45, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 55% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 34, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 45. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 55% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 69, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 69% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 33, is a HOLD recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for Hoya, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with an above-market return. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive shareholder returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Hoya Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | June 1, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 89 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 53 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 94 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 96 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives) for 2023, the company Hoya has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Hoya is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Hoya. Leverage is at 89, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 89% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 53, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 53% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 94, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 94% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives), Hoya has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Hoya Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | June 1, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 28 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 33 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 94 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 56 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 56 (better than 56% compared with investment alternatives), Hoya (Health Care Supplies, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Hoya are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Obermatt Value Rank of 28 (worse than 72% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 33) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 96), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: An Obermatt Combined Rank of 56, is a buy recommendation based on Hoya's financial characteristics. As the company Hoya's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 28) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 33), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 96) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. ...read more
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