Fact based stock research
Hufvudstaden (OM:HUFV A)

SE0000170375

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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Hufvudstaden stock research in summary

hufvudstaden.se

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 41 (worse than 59% compared with investment alternatives), Hufvudstaden (Real Estate: Operating Services, Sweden) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Hufvudstaden are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 41 (worse than 59% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 10) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 78), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 41, is a hold recommendation based on Hufvudstaden's financial characteristics. As the company Hufvudstaden's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 41) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 10), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 78) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	41
Growth Rank	10
Safety Rank	78
Combined Rank	41

Country	Sweden
Industry	Real Estate: Operating Services
Index	R/E Europe
Size class	Small

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Hufvudstaden

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	58	59	32	41
GROWTH
GROWTH	66	54	38	10
SAFETY
SAFETY	13	90	94	78
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	26	20	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	72	33	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Hufvudstaden is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	58	59	32	41
GROWTH
GROWTH	66	54	38	10
SAFETY
SAFETY	13	90	94	78
COMBINED
COMBINED	41	84	63	41

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Hufvudstaden the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 41 (worse than 59% compared with alternatives), Hufvudstaden shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators where three out of four are below average for Hufvudstaden. Only the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) indicates good stock value with a Price-to-Book Rank of 62, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 62% of comparable investments. All other value indicators are below the market median. Price-to-Sales is 45 which means the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 55% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Hufvudstaden's revenue levels. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 62 and for the dividend yields rank which is lower than for 67% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 41, is a hold recommendation based on Hufvudstaden's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Why are market participants paying such a high price for Hufvudstaden, where three out of four value indicators are below par? One reason could be that the company is well financed, indicated by the high book capital level, and has a promising future that is not yet visible in reported revenues and profits. That would also explain the low dividend yield because the company needs the cash to invest in its future. If investors can verify a picture in this sense, the stock may still be a good investment, even though current company-reported financials don't fully explain current stock prices. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	15	59	39	45
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	59	47	26	30
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	73	88	56	62
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	58	12	35	33
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	58	59	32	41

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Hufvudstaden; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 10 (better than 10% compared with alternatives), Hufvudstaden shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Hufvudstaden. Sales Growth has a rank of 47, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 53% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 9, and Capital Growth with 38. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 32, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 68% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 10, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	76	81	56	47
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	26	73	9
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	86	43	38
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	56	20	26	32
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	66	54	38	10

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Hufvudstaden.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 78 (better than 78% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Hufvudstaden has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Hufvudstaden is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Hufvudstaden. Leverage is at a rank of 95, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 95% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 82, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 82% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 40, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 60% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 78 (better than 78% compared with alternatives), Hufvudstaden has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Hufvudstaden. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Hufvudstaden and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	40	97	100	95
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	15	32	40	40
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	51	92	92	82
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	13	90	94	78

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Hufvudstaden and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	27	32	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	30	34	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	35	23	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	69	64	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	26	20	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Hufvudstaden.
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