August 29, 2024
Top 10 Stock Humana Sell Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Humana – Top 10 Stock in Sound Pay Practices in Europe
Humana is listed as a top 10 stock on August 29, 2024 in the market index Sound Pay Europe because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Only the Obermatt Value Rank exhibits above-average performance, which means that the stock is seen as critical by the professional community and other financial facts are below average, conveying mixed investment signals. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 14 (14% performer), Obermatt issues an overall sell recommendation for Humana on August 29, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Sweden |
| Industry | Health Care Facilities |
| Index | Customer Focus EU, Dividends Europe, Employee Focus EU, Diversity Europe, Sound Pay Europe |
| Size class | Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Humana Sell
| 360 METRICS | August 29, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 100 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 12 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 16 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 16 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 14 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 14 (better than 14% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Humana are critical, mostly below average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Humana. Only the consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 100, which means that the share price of Humana is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is lower than for 100% of alternative stocks in the same industry. All other consolidated ranks are below average. The consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 12, which means that the company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 16, meaning the company has a riskier financing structure than 84% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, professionals are more pessimistic about the stock than for 84% of alternative investment opportunities, reflected in the consolidated Sentiment Rank of 16. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 14, Humana is worse than 86% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. This means that Humana shares are on the riskier side for investors. Only one of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibits above-average performance, namely the Value Rank at a level of 100. All other ranks are below average, so proceed with caution. The company has below-average growth expectations (Growth Rank of 12), a riskier financing structure than the competition (Safety Rank of 16), and the market sentiment in the professional investor community ranking at (Sentiment Rank of 16) is negative. This combination is sensitive to a crisis, because high debt levels (low safety) require growth to finance the debt burden. It’s no wonder that the investor community indicators are skeptical (low sentiment). Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this assessment. We recommend evaluating whether the future of Humana is as challenging as the low price of the stock suggests. Since the professional community is pessimistic, you might need to worry about the future of Humana. Only invest if you have solid reasons to believe that the low growth is temporary and the current market sentiment is an overreaction, possibly due to reputational issues in the past. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Humana negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 16 (better than 16% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Humana is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Humana. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 27 (worse than 73% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50, which means that stock research experts have found something to make them more positive about investing in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in Humana. But the Professional Investors rank is low at 23, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 77% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. Market Pulse is also low at a rank of 19, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 81% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 16 (less encouraging than 84% compared with investment alternatives), Humana has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. These are quite a few negative sentiment signals. One may want to trust the analysts that are changing their opinions. They may be early indications of better times, especially if the company is a smaller one. But If they are an extra large company, they should have more professional stockholders than are currently present. ...read more
Value Strategy: Humana Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Humana shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Humana. Price-to-Sales is 93 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 93% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Humana's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 100% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 90. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Humana are expected to be higher than for 88% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 88). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 100, is a buy recommendation based on Humana's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Humana based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: Humana Growth Momentum negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 12 (better than 12% compared with alternatives), Humana shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Humana. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 1, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 99% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 15, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 12. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 88% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 78, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 78% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 12, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for Humana, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Humana Debt Financing Safety risky
| SAFETY METRICS | August 29, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 17 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 6 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 29 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 16 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 16 (better than 16% compared with alternatives), the company Humana has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Humana is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Humana. Liquidity is at 29, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 71% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 17, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 83% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 6 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 94% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 16 (worse than 84% compared with alternatives), Humana has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing.
Combined financial peformance: Humana Below-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | August 29, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 100 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 12 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 29 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 33 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 33 (worse than 67% compared with investment alternatives), Humana (Health Care Facilities, Sweden) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Humana are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 100 (better than 100% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 12), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 16), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 33, is a hold recommendation based on Humana's financial characteristics. As the company Humana's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 100) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 12) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 16), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 100% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. ...read more
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