May 11, 2023
Top 10 Stock IAG Strong Buy Recommendation



How to read the ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:

Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Snapshot: IAG – Top 10 Stock in Australian Securities Exchange Index ASX 100


iag.com.au


IAG is listed as a top 10 stock on May 11, 2023 in the market index ASX 100 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As all consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, including positive market sentiment in the professional investor community, it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited. Based on the Obermatt 360° Rank of 85 (top 85% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for IAG on May 11, 2023.


Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks


Country Australia
Industry Property & Casualty Insurance
Index ASX 100, ASX 200, ASX 300, ASX 50, SDG 11, SDG 13, SDG 8, SDG 9
Size class X-Large
Latest Research


Top 10 Stocks ≠ most popular stocks

When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).

For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).


360° View: Obermatt 360° Assessment IAG Strong Buy

360 METRICS May 11, 2023
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT
360° VIEW
360° VIEW

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives) for 2022, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock IAG are very positive. The 360° Rank is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with all four indicators above average for IAG. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 57, which means that the share price of IAG is on the lower side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 57% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 89, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 90. Finally, professional market sentiment is above average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 67. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a 360° Rank of 85, IAG is better than 85% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As all consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Value Rank of 57), above-average growth (Growth Rank of 89), an indication that the company is safely financed (Safety Rank of 90) and positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 67), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited and disappointments are less likely to occur, unless information not publicly available. High-Value Ranks sometimes indicate that the company's future is challenging. If they are safely financed and have above average growth, and are still a good value, it may indicate that this will not continue. We recommend evaluating whether the future of IAG is as difficult as the stock’s low price, despite what good growth and safe financing practice suggest. Since the professional community is optimistic, you might have less to worry about, and the stock is just not sufficiently visible, which may indicate good timing right now. ...read more




Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for IAG positive

SENTIMENT METRICS May 11, 2023
ANALYST OPINION
ANALYST OPINION
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock IAG is above average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all but one indicator above average for IAG. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 22 (worse than 78% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 83, which indicates a shift in stock research experts opinions for the better. In other words, they are getting more optimistic about stock investments in IAG. Even better, the Professional Investors rank is 97, meaning that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 97% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. Furthermore, Market Pulse has a rank of 66, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are upbeat when discussing this company (more positive news than for 66% of competitors). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 67 (more positive than 67% compared with investment alternatives), IAG has a reputation among professional investors that is above-average compared with that of its competitors. While analysts are still critical of the company, some are changing their minds. In addition, the professional news channels are optimistic, and many institutional investors have already bought stock in the company. These are encouraging signals, despite the still lower level of analyst recommendations. They may be due to a problematic past, and about to change. The positive sentiment signals are stronger than the negative. ...read more



Value Strategy: IAG Stock Price Value better than average

VALUE METRICS May 11, 2023
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with alternatives), IAG shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for IAG. Price-to-Sales (P/S) has a value of 64, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than 64% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning IAG's revenue size. The same is valid for dividend yields with an Obermatt Dividend Yield rank of 67, which means that dividends are expected to be higher than 67% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than 66% of alternatives (only 34% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E), which is higher than 57% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 57, is a BUY recommendation based on IAG's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a somewhat surprising picture, because it means that profits are low while dividends are high. One interpretation could be that profits are expected to increase, justifying the high dividend payments. But it could also mean that the company desperately keeps the high dividends to avoid a collapsing share price. This would be a rather dangerous constellation. ...read more



Growth Strategy: IAG Growth Momentum high

GROWTH METRICS May 11, 2023
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 89 (better than 89% compared with alternatives) for 2022, IAG shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for IAG. Sales Growth has a rank of 72 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 72% of its competitors. Both Profit Growth, with a rank of 98, and Stock Returns, with a rank of 75, are also above average. But Capital Growth only has a rank of 43, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 2% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 89, is a BUY recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That may be a good sign if the company is already well positioned and doesn't require more investments at this time. They may focus on growing the top (revenues) and bottom (profits) lines, recently rewarded with above-average stock returns for shareholders. But it may also be a sign of danger as the company is falling back with capital investment activities concerning competition. This requires further analysis of corporate communications. ...read more



Safety Strategy: IAG Debt Financing Safety very solid

SAFETY METRICS May 11, 2023
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE
REFINANCING
REFINANCING
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 90 (better than 90% compared with alternatives) for 2022, the company IAG has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of IAG is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for IAG. Leverage is at a rank of 58, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 58% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 50, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 50% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 46, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 54% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 90 (better than 90% compared with alternatives), IAG has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for IAG. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. ...read more



Combined financial peformance: IAG Top Financial Performance

COMBINED PERFORMANCE May 11, 2023
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
COMBINED
COMBINED

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 76 (better than 76% compared with investment alternatives), IAG (Property & Casualty Insurance, Australia) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of IAG are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Obermatt Value Rank of 57 (better than 57% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 89), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 90), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: An Obermatt Combined Rank of 76, is a strong buy recommendation based on IAG's financial characteristics. As the company IAG's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 57), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 89), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 90), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clear in the future. We recommend evaluating the future of IAG. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. ...read more

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