March 21, 2024
Top 10 Stock Investec Property Fund Sell Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Investec Property Fund – Top 10 Stock in Real Estate in Growth Markets
Investec Property Fund is listed as a top 10 stock on March 21, 2024 in the market index R/E Growth Markets because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Only the Obermatt Value Rank exhibits above-average performance, which means that the stock is seen as critical by the professional community and other financial facts are below average, conveying mixed investment signals. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 4 (4% performer), Obermatt issues an overall sell recommendation for Investec Property Fund on March 21, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | South Africa |
| Industry | REITs: Diversified |
| Index | R/E Growth Markets, JSE All Shares |
| Size class | Small |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Investec Property Fund Sell
| 360 METRICS | March 21, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 92 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 15 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 6 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 1 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 4 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 4 (better than 4% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Investec Property Fund are critical, mostly below average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Investec Property Fund. Only the consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 92, which means that the share price of Investec Property Fund is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is lower than for 92% of alternative stocks in the same industry. All other consolidated ranks are below average. The consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 15, which means that the company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 6, meaning the company has a riskier financing structure than 94% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, professionals are more pessimistic about the stock than for 99% of alternative investment opportunities, reflected in the consolidated Sentiment Rank of 1. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 4, Investec Property Fund is worse than 96% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. This means that Investec Property Fund shares are on the riskier side for investors. Only one of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibits above-average performance, namely the Value Rank at a level of 92. All other ranks are below average, so proceed with caution. The company has below-average growth expectations (Growth Rank of 15), a riskier financing structure than the competition (Safety Rank of 6), and the market sentiment in the professional investor community ranking at (Sentiment Rank of 1) is negative. This combination is sensitive to a crisis, because high debt levels (low safety) require growth to finance the debt burden. It’s no wonder that the investor community indicators are skeptical (low sentiment). Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this assessment. We recommend evaluating whether the future of Investec Property Fund is as challenging as the low price of the stock suggests. Since the professional community is pessimistic, you might need to worry about the future of Investec Property Fund. Only invest if you have solid reasons to believe that the low growth is temporary and the current market sentiment is an overreaction, possibly due to reputational issues in the past. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Investec Property Fund negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 1 (better than 1% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Investec Property Fund is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Investec Property Fund. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 13 (worse than 87% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50, which means that stock research experts have found something to make them more positive about investing in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in Investec Property Fund. But the Professional Investors rank is low at 22, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 78% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. Market Pulse is also low at a rank of 3, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 97% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 1 (less encouraging than 99% compared with investment alternatives), Investec Property Fund has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. These are quite a few negative sentiment signals. One may want to trust the analysts that are changing their opinions. They may be early indications of better times, especially if the company is a smaller one. But If they are an extra large company, they should have more professional stockholders than are currently present. ...read more
Value Strategy: Investec Property Fund Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Investec Property Fund shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Investec Property Fund. Price-to-Sales is 51 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 51% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Investec Property Fund's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 79% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 97. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Investec Property Fund are expected to be higher than for 98% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 98). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 92, is a buy recommendation based on Investec Property Fund's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Investec Property Fund based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: Investec Property Fund Growth Momentum negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 15 (better than 15% compared with alternatives), Investec Property Fund shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Investec Property Fund. While Profit Growth has a good rank of 94, as professionals currently expect the company to grow its profits more than 94% of its competitors, all other growth indicators are below market averages. Sales Growth has a rank of 8, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 92% of its competitors, while Capital Growth has a rank of 9 and Stock Returns have been below market median, with a rank of 27 (73% of alternative investments were better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 15, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. While revenue growth and capital growth are good growth momentum indicators, profit is less reliable, because profits may increase due to cost-cutting measures which typically indicate negative growth momentum. "You can save a dollar only once" is the saying about such situations. Growth Investors should look at company priorities closely if they are interested in growth, because the increase in profits is not usually an indicator of growth, and stock prices have been below market, too. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Investec Property Fund Debt Financing Safety risky
| SAFETY METRICS | March 21, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 50 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 1 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 40 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 6 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 6 (better than 6% compared with alternatives), the company Investec Property Fund has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Investec Property Fund is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Investec Property Fund and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 50 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 50% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 1, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 99% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 40, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 60% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 6 (worse than 94% compared with alternatives), Investec Property Fund has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of Investec Property Fund are on the safer side. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Investec Property Fund Lowest Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | March 21, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 92 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 15 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 40 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 18 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 18 (worse than 82% compared with investment alternatives), Investec Property Fund (REITs: Diversified, South Africa) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Investec Property Fund are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 92 (better than 92% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 15), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 6), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 18, is a sell recommendation based on Investec Property Fund's financial characteristics. As the company Investec Property Fund's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 92) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 15) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 6), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 92% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. ...read more
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