Fact based stock research
Kinsale Capital Group (NasdaqGS:KNSL)

US49714P1084

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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Kinsale Capital Group stock research in summary

kinsalecapitalgroup.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 58 (better than 58% compared with investment alternatives), Kinsale Capital Group (Property & Casualty Insurance, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Kinsale Capital Group are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 7 (worse than 93% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 46, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 89). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 58, is a buy recommendation based on Kinsale Capital Group's financial characteristics. As the company Kinsale Capital Group shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 7 (93% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 89% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 89). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 46 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Kinsale Capital Group, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	7
Growth Rank	89
Safety Rank	46
Combined Rank	58

Country	USA
Industry	Property & Casualty Insurance
Index	NASDAQ
Size class	Medium

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Kinsale Capital Group

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	3	1	4	7
GROWTH
GROWTH	73	95	99	89
SAFETY
SAFETY	64	46	46	46
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	77	60	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	73	76	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Kinsale Capital Group is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	3	1	4	7
GROWTH
GROWTH	73	95	99	89
SAFETY
SAFETY	64	46	46	46
COMBINED
COMBINED	45	58	58	58

Last update of combined financial performance: 6-Oct-2022. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Kinsale Capital Group the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 7 (worse than 93% compared with alternatives), Kinsale Capital Group shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Kinsale Capital Group. Price-to-Sales is 7 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 93% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Kinsale Capital Group's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 5, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Kinsale Capital Group. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 16 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 77% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 7, is a sell recommendation based on Kinsale Capital Group's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Kinsale Capital Group? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Kinsale Capital Group? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Kinsale Capital Group may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	6	3	3	7
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	22	3	10	16
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	1	5	5	5
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	34	21	22	23
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	3	1	4	7

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Kinsale Capital Group; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 89 (better than 89% compared with alternatives) for 2022, Kinsale Capital Group shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Kinsale Capital Group. Sales Growth has a value of 94 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 94% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a value of 66 and Capital Growth with a rank of 97 means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow both profits and invested capital more than of its competitors. But Stock Returns has only a rank of 29, which means that stock returns have recently been below 71% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 89, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Kinsale Capital Group has only one below-average growth indicator, the stock returns. This is probably the least reliable growth indicator, because it measures company and investor expectations at the same time. The three other growth indicators, which are all positive for Kinsale Capital Group, are more reliable measures of growth momentum. For this reason, the company seems to be on a good trajectory, unless you think the current period is not representative, because of unique events that will not be repeated in the future. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	91	88	96	94
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	42	81	85	66
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	89	91	97
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	20	27	67	29
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	73	95	99	89

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Kinsale Capital Group.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 46 (better than 46% compared with alternatives), the company Kinsale Capital Group has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Kinsale Capital Group is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Kinsale Capital Group. Leverage is at a rank of 84, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 84% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 86, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 86% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 6, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 94% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 46 (worse than 54% compared with alternatives), Kinsale Capital Group has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Kinsale Capital Group. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Kinsale Capital Group and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	73	88	75	84
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	33	6	6	6
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	71	79	90	86
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	64	46	46	46

Last update of Safety Rank: 9-Sep-2022. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Kinsale Capital Group and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	58	55	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	91	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	25	42	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	70	81	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	77	60	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Kinsale Capital Group.
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