June 29, 2023
Top 10 Stock Kohl's Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Kohl's – Top 10 Stock in S&P Mid-Cap Index
Kohl's is listed as a top 10 stock on June 29, 2023 in the market index S&P MIDCAP because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While half the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, investor sentiment is below average and thus a signal for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 65 (high 65% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for Kohl's on June 29, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | USA |
| Industry | Department Stores |
| Index | Dividends USA, Low Waste, Recycling, S&P MIDCAP |
| Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Kohl's Buy
| 360 METRICS | June 29, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 100 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 61 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 22 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 29 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 65 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Kohl's are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Kohl's. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 100, which means that the share price of Kohl's is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 100% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 61, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 29. Professional investors are more confident in 71% other stocks. Worryingly, the company has risky financing, with a Safety rank of 22. This means 78% of comparable companies have a safer financing structure than Kohl's. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 65, Kohl's is better positioned than 65% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Even though half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, namely the Value Rank at 100 and the Growth Rank above-average at 61, the picture is still mixed. The professional investor community is skeptical, with the Sentiment Rank below-average at 29. In addition, the company financing structure is on the riskier side (Safety Rank of 22). Since the company is good value and the share price low, it should attract investors, yet professionals are skeptical. One may be tempted by above-average growth, but that could also change quickly, as past performance is not a good indicator of future performance. Since the financing structure is on the risky side, investors should be careful with this decision and conduct further research if they are serious about investing in this company. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Kohl's only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 29 (better than 29% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Kohl's is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Kohl's. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 29 (worse than 71% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50, which means that stock research experts have found something to make them more positive about investing in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in Kohl's. But the Professional Investors rank is low at 13, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 87% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. Market Pulse is also low at a rank of 38, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 62% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 29 (less encouraging than 71% compared with investment alternatives), Kohl's has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. These are quite a few negative sentiment signals. One may want to trust the analysts that are changing their opinions. They may be early indications of better times, especially if the company is a smaller one. But If they are an extra large company, they should have more professional stockholders than are currently present. ...read more
Value Strategy: Kohl's Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2023, Kohl's shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Kohl's. Price-to-Sales is 82 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 82% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Kohl's's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 78% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 86. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Kohl's are expected to be higher than for 95% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 95). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 100, is a buy recommendation based on Kohl's's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Kohl's based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: Kohl's Growth Momentum good
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 61 (better than 61% compared with alternatives), Kohl's shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Kohl's. While Profit Growth has a good rank of 100, as professionals currently expect the company to grow its profits more than 100% of its competitors, all other growth indicators are below market averages. Sales Growth has a rank of 14, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 86% of its competitors, while Capital Growth has a rank of 45 and Stock Returns have been below market median, with a rank of 29 (71% of alternative investments were better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 61, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. While revenue growth and capital growth are good growth momentum indicators, profit is less reliable, because profits may increase due to cost-cutting measures which typically indicate negative growth momentum. "You can save a dollar only once" is the saying about such situations. Growth Investors should look at company priorities closely if they are interested in growth, because the increase in profits is not usually an indicator of growth, and stock prices have been below market, too. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Kohl's Debt Financing Safety risky
| SAFETY METRICS | June 29, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 21 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 58 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 34 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 22 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 22 (better than 22% compared with alternatives), the company Kohl's has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Kohl's is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Kohl's and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 58, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 58% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 21, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 79% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 34, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 66% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 22 (worse than 78% compared with alternatives), Kohl's has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Kohl's are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Kohl's Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | June 29, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 100 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 61 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 34 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 73 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 73 (better than 73% compared with investment alternatives), Kohl's (Department Stores, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Kohl's are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 100 (better than 100% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 61) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 22), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 73, is a buy recommendation based on Kohl's's financial characteristics. As the company Kohl's's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 100) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 61), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 22) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. ...read more
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