Fact based stock research
Kumba Iron Ore (JSE:KIO)

ZAE000085346

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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Kumba Iron Ore stock research in summary

angloamericankumba.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 64 (better than 64% compared with investment alternatives), Kumba Iron Ore (Steel, South Africa) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Kumba Iron Ore are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 69 (better than 69% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 94, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 11). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 64, is a buy recommendation based on Kumba Iron Ore's financial characteristics. As the company Kumba Iron Ore's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 69) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 11) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 94), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 69% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	69
Growth Rank	11
Safety Rank	94
Combined Rank	64

Country	South Africa
Industry	Steel
Index	Energy Efficient, Good Governace Growth Markets, Human Rights, Independent Boards Growth Markets, Water Efficiency, JSE All Shares
Size class	Medium

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

31-Jul-2025. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Research History: Kumba Iron Ore

RESEARCH HISTORY	2022	2023	2024	2025
VALUE
VALUE	27	28	43	69
GROWTH
GROWTH	3	71	21	11
SAFETY
SAFETY	99	71	96	94
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	52	82	70	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	41	80	70	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 31-Jul-2025. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Dec-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Kumba Iron Ore is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2022	2023	2024	2025
VALUE
VALUE	27	28	43	69
GROWTH
GROWTH	3	71	21	11
SAFETY
SAFETY	99	71	96	94
COMBINED
COMBINED	29	64	56	64

Last update of combined financial performance: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Kumba Iron Ore the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 69 (better than 69% compared with alternatives), Kumba Iron Ore shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Kumba Iron Ore. Price-to-Sales is 50 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 50% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Kumba Iron Ore's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 77% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 51. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Kumba Iron Ore are expected to be higher than for 96% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 96). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 69, is a buy recommendation based on Kumba Iron Ore's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Kumba Iron Ore based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	33	26	35	50
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	47	57	64	77
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	20	16	33	51
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	90	90	92	96
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	27	28	43	69

Last update of Value Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Kumba Iron Ore; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 11 (better than 11% compared with alternatives), Kumba Iron Ore shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Kumba Iron Ore. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 63, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 31% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 1 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 99% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 31 and Stock Returns with a rank of 23 are also low (below 77% of alternative investments). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 11, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for Kumba Iron Ore is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	1	29	4	1
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	48	77	57	31
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	32	47	67	63
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	17	77	31	23
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	3	71	21	11

Last update of Growth Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Kumba Iron Ore.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 94 (better than 94% compared with alternatives) for 2025, the company Kumba Iron Ore has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Kumba Iron Ore is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Kumba Iron Ore. Leverage is at 92, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 92% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 59, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 59% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 81, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 81% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 94 (better than 94% compared with alternatives), Kumba Iron Ore has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Kumba Iron Ore but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	100	74	92	92
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	75	49	57	59
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	96	78	86	81
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	99	71	96	94

Last update of Safety Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Kumba Iron Ore and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2022	2023	2024	2025
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	9	32	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	50	88	83	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	71	96	76	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	59	57	18	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	52	82	70	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Kumba Iron Ore.
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