Fact based stock research
LCNB (NasdaqCM:LCNB)
US50181P1003
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
LCNB stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with investment alternatives), LCNB (Regional Banks, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of LCNB are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 89 (better than 89% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 59) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 47), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 92, is a strong buy recommendation based on LCNB's financial characteristics. As the company LCNB's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 89) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 59), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 47) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Regional Banks |
| Index | Dividends USA, Sound Pay USA, NASDAQ |
| Size class | XX-Large |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: LCNB
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 77 |
|
79 |
|
65 |
|
89 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 5 |
|
17 |
|
70 |
|
59 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 11 |
|
47 |
|
95 |
|
47 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
99 |
|
94 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
73 |
|
100 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with investment alternatives), LCNB (Regional Banks, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of LCNB are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 89 (better than 89% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 59) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 47), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 92, is a strong buy recommendation based on LCNB's financial characteristics. As the company LCNB's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 89) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 59), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 47) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 77 |
|
79 |
|
65 |
|
89 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 5 |
|
17 |
|
70 |
|
59 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 11 |
|
47 |
|
95 |
|
47 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 13 |
|
35 |
|
98 |
|
92 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 89 (better than 89% compared with alternatives) for 2024, LCNB shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for LCNB. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price to earnings, P/E ratio) is 91 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 91% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning LCNB's profit levels. The same is valid for the expected Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 73, and for Dividend Yield with a Dividend Yield Rank of 92. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the stock price is higher than average as regards expected revenues; only 59% of all competitors have an even higher stock price as regards to sales revenues (a Price-to-Sales Rank of 41). Profits, the level of invested capital, and dividend policy suggest that this stock is attractively priced. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 89, is a buy recommendation based on LCNB's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since it is on the expensive side for Price-to-Sales, it may mean that LCNB has pricing power in its distribution market because it can charge higher prices than its competitors. If this is the case, all four value indicators are positive signals for purchasing LCNB shares. 9. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 60 |
|
62 |
|
14 |
|
41 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 49 |
|
43 |
|
80 |
|
91 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 86 |
|
81 |
|
56 |
|
73 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 88 |
|
95 |
|
94 |
|
92 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 77 |
|
79 |
|
65 |
|
89 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 59 (better than 59% compared with alternatives), LCNB shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for LCNB. Sales Growth has a rank of 84 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 84% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 34% of competitors with a rank of 75. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 34, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 66% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 11. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 59, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 12 |
|
46 |
|
96 |
|
84 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 45 |
|
6 |
|
45 |
|
34 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
37 |
|
19 |
|
75 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 16 |
|
43 |
|
59 |
|
11 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 5 |
|
17 |
|
70 |
|
59 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 47 (better than 47% compared with alternatives), the company LCNB has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of LCNB is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for LCNB. Leverage is at a rank of 81, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 81% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 66, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 66% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 1, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 99% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 47 (worse than 53% compared with alternatives), LCNB has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for LCNB. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with LCNB and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 35 |
|
78 |
|
78 |
|
81 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 24 |
|
1 |
|
47 |
|
1 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 34 |
|
61 |
|
79 |
|
66 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 11 |
|
47 |
|
95 |
|
47 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
80 |
|
39 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
100 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
85 |
|
46 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
94 |
|
95 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
99 |
|
94 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for LCNB from November 14, 2024.
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