Fact based stock research
Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT)
US5398301094
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Lockheed Martin stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 12 (worse than 88% compared with investment alternatives), Lockheed Martin (Aerospace & Defense, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Lockheed Martin are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 51 (better than 51% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 17), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 36), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 12, is a sell recommendation based on Lockheed Martin's financial characteristics. As the company Lockheed Martin's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 51) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 17) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 36), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 51% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | USA |
Industry | Aerospace & Defense |
Index | Dividends USA, Recycling, SDG 16, SDG 4, SDG 5, SDG 7, D.J. US Defense, S&P 500 |
Size class | XX-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
28-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Lockheed Martin
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 58 |
|
45 |
|
47 |
|
51 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 1 |
|
11 |
|
13 |
|
17 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 67 |
|
37 |
|
46 |
|
36 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
56 |
|
65 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
14 |
|
32 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 12 (worse than 88% compared with investment alternatives), Lockheed Martin (Aerospace & Defense, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Lockheed Martin are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 51 (better than 51% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 17), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 36), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 12, is a sell recommendation based on Lockheed Martin's financial characteristics. As the company Lockheed Martin's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 51) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 17) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 36), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 51% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 58 |
|
45 |
|
47 |
|
51 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 1 |
|
11 |
|
13 |
|
17 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 67 |
|
37 |
|
46 |
|
36 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 31 |
|
6 |
|
17 |
|
12 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 51 (better than 51% compared with alternatives), Lockheed Martin shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Lockheed Martin. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 50 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 50% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Lockheed Martin's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 3, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 3% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than 55% of alternatives (only 45% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than 11% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 51, is a buy recommendation based on Lockheed Martin's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high in respect to expected revenues, it means that the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than pay it out to shareholders, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 44 |
|
45 |
|
43 |
|
45 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 70 |
|
65 |
|
59 |
|
50 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 1 |
|
3 |
|
1 |
|
3 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 92 |
|
93 |
|
90 |
|
89 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 58 |
|
45 |
|
47 |
|
51 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 17 (better than 17% compared with alternatives), Lockheed Martin shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Lockheed Martin. Sales Growth has a rank of 30, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 70% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 20, and Capital Growth with 41. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 49, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 51% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 17, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 14 |
|
1 |
|
14 |
|
30 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 54 |
|
10 |
|
55 |
|
20 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
65 |
|
47 |
|
41 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 13 |
|
47 |
|
15 |
|
49 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 1 |
|
11 |
|
13 |
|
17 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 36 (better than 36% compared with alternatives), the company Lockheed Martin has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Lockheed Martin is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Lockheed Martin. Liquidity is at 68, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 68% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 22, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 78% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 17, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 83% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 36 (worse than 64% compared with alternatives), Lockheed Martin has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 58 |
|
22 |
|
21 |
|
17 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 38 |
|
17 |
|
20 |
|
22 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 73 |
|
85 |
|
87 |
|
68 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 67 |
|
37 |
|
46 |
|
36 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
39 |
|
13 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
46 |
|
47 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
26 |
|
96 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
96 |
|
83 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
56 |
|
65 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Lockheed Martin from November 28, 2024.
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