August 10, 2023
Top 10 Stock LVMH Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: LVMH – Top 10 Stock in Cotation Assistée en Continu Index CAC 40
LVMH is listed as a top 10 stock on August 10, 2023 in the market index CAC 40 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Two consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. The company is growing above average and professional investor sentiment is positive. Both are encouraging signals for a stock purchase decision, albeit at an above-average share price. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 57 (high 57% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for LVMH on August 10, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
Country | France |
Industry | Apparel, Accessories, Luxury |
Index | EURO STOXX 50, CAC 40, CAC All, SBF 120, Diversity Europe, Human Rights, Renewables Users |
Size class | XX-Large |
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When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View LVMH Buy
360 METRICS | August 10, 2023 | |||||||
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VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 13 |
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GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 73 |
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SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 41 |
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SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | 87 |
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360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | 57 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 57 (better than 57% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock LVMH are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for LVMH. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 73, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 73% of competitors in the same industry. The consolidated Sentiment Rank also has a good rank of 87, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 87% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Value Rank has a less desirable rank of 13, which means that the share price of LVMH is on the higher side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is higher than for 87% of alternative stocks in the same industry. Finally, the consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 41, which means that the company has a financing structure that is riskier than those of 59% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 57, LVMH is better positioned than 57% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Only half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, so one needs to take a close look. Growth is above-average (Growth Rank of 73), and professional market sentiment is positive (Sentiment Rank of 87), but value and safety are below average. The Safety Rank is the least significant of the four consolidated ranks, because it only reflects financing practices. In the case of high growth, aggressive financing is a good thing. So the question is: How to assess below-average value against above-average growth and sentiment? Growth may be the strongest driver of the investment rationale in this case, which is reflected in institutional investors' opinions. It is typical for growth companies to have low value, as is the case here. Investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much do you sacrifice value for growth? You can use the following rule of thumb: If you take 100 minus the growth rank, you arrive at a possibly minimum level for the value rank. For example, if the growth rank is at 75, and the value rank is at 5, you should tread carefully. If the value rank is at 40, it still might be a good value if the growth rank is above 60. Sometimes market sentiment just extrapolates the past, but sometimes it reflects reality. You pay more than the market average for this stock, but it may be worth it. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for LVMH very positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock LVMH is very positive. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators where all but one are above average for LVMH. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 70 (better than 70% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. The Professional Investors rank is also good at 77, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 77% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. In addition, Market Pulse has a rank of 76 which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the positive side when discussing this company (more positive news than for 76% of competitors). But Analyst Opinions Change has a below-average rank of 45, which means that stock research experts are currently changing their opinions for the worse when it comes to recommending this stock. In other words, they are getting more critical of investments in LVMH. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 87 (more positive than 87% compared with investment alternatives), LVMH has a reputation among professional investors that is significantly higher than that of its competitors. This is an early sign of caution, even if the stock has significantly appreciated. If analysts change their opinions, the stock may become too expensive. If the price is on the way down, the trend may continue. This may be a stock with a good reputation and history, but it may have reached its breaking point by now. Investors should look at the Value Ranks as well. If they indicate trouble, it might just materialize in the future. ...read more
Value Strategy: LVMH Stock Price Value low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 13 (worse than 87% compared with alternatives), LVMH shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for LVMH. Price-to-Sales is 10 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 90% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning LVMH's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 14, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of LVMH. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 19 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 74% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 13, is a sell recommendation based on LVMH's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for LVMH? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as LVMH? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. LVMH may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. ...read more
Growth Strategy: LVMH Growth Momentum good
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 73 (better than 73% compared with alternatives), LVMH shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for LVMH. Sales Growth has a rank of 75 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 75% of its competitors. Both Profit Growth, with a rank of 68, and Stock Returns, with a rank of 73, are also above average. But Capital Growth only has a rank of 33, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 67% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 73, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That may be a good sign if the company is already well positioned and doesn't require more investments at this time. They may focus on growing the top (revenues) and bottom (profits) lines, recently rewarded with above-average stock returns for shareholders. But it may also be a sign of danger as the company is falling back with capital investment activities concerning competition. This requires further analysis of corporate communications. ...read more
Safety Strategy: LVMH Debt Financing Safety below-average
SAFETY METRICS | August 10, 2023 | |||||||
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LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 48 |
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REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 5 |
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LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 76 |
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CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 41 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 41 (better than 41% compared with alternatives), the company LVMH has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of LVMH is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for LVMH. Liquidity is at 76, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 76% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 5, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 95% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 48, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 52% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 41 (worse than 59% compared with alternatives), LVMH has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: LVMH Lowest Financial Performance
COMBINED PERFORMANCE | August 10, 2023 | |||||||
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VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 13 |
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GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 73 |
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SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 76 |
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COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 23 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 23 (worse than 77% compared with investment alternatives), LVMH (Apparel, Accessories, Luxury, France) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of LVMH are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 13 (worse than 87% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 41, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 73). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 23, is a sell recommendation based on LVMH's financial characteristics. As the company LVMH shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 13 (87% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 73% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 73). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 41 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for LVMH, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. ...read more
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