October 17, 2024
Top 10 Stock Lynas Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Lynas – Top 10 Stock in Australian Securities Exchange Index ASX 200
Lynas is listed as a top 10 stock on October 17, 2024 in the market index ASX 200 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Three consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. Only the Value Rank is below average. The investment rationale may be an investment in future growth, supported by professional market opinion. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 55 (high 55% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for Lynas on October 17, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Lynas Buy
360 METRICS | October 17, 2024 | |||||||
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VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 3 |
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GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 63 |
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SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 78 |
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SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | 65 |
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360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | 55 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Lynas are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Lynas. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 63, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 63% of competitors in the same industry. The consolidated Safety Rank at 78 means that the company has a financing structure that is safer than 78% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, the consolidated Sentiment Rank has a good rank of 65, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 65% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Value Rank is less desirable at 3, meaning that the share price of Lynas is on the higher side compared with indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is higher than for 97% of alternative stocks in the same industry. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 55, Lynas is better positioned than 55% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as above-average growth (Growth Rank of 63), a safe financing structure (Safety Rank of 78), and positive professional market sentiment (Sentiment Rank of 65), it is a solid stock investment where growth may be the strongest driver of the investment rationale, also reflected by institutional investors. It is typical for growth companies to have low value, as is the case here. Investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much more do you pay for the stock of Lynas compared with alternatives? You can use the following rule of thumb: The growth rank measures the growth momentum of the company (63% better than peers). The value rank could be the reverse reflection of that (37%). A Value Rank below that level may be assessed as expensive, a rank above that is still good value. Sometimes market sentiment just reflects the past, sometimes the reality. You pay more than the market average for this stock, but it may be worth it. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Lynas positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Lynas is above average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the indicators below and above average for Lynas. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 48 (worse than 52% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50 which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in Lynas. Market Pulse is also positive with a rank of 80, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are positive in their discussions about this company (more positive news than for 80% of competitors). Only professional investors tend to be absent with a Professional Investors rank of 42, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 58% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. But that could also be due to the size of the company. Professional investors tend to invest in XL and XXL companies. If the company is smaller than that, that fact alone may explain why there are fewer pros present. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 65 (more positive than 65% compared with investment alternatives), Lynas has a reputation among professional investors that is above-average compared with that of its competitors. Since analysts are getting more optimistic and the professional communication channels are positive, it may be an indication of a company that has the difficult times behind it or the stocks’ value is improving. For medium to smaller companies, the positive sentiment indicators outshine the negative. ...read more
Value Strategy: Lynas Stock Price Value low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 3 (worse than 97% compared with alternatives), Lynas shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Lynas. Price-to-Sales is 3 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 97% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Lynas's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 26, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Lynas. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 9 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 90% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 3, is a sell recommendation based on Lynas's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Lynas? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Lynas? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Lynas may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Lynas Growth Momentum good
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with alternatives), Lynas shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Lynas. Sales Growth has a rank of 100 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 100% of its competitors. Both Profit Growth, with a rank of 74, and Stock Returns, with a rank of 53, are also above average. But Capital Growth only has a rank of 4, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 96% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 63, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That may be a good sign if the company is already well positioned and doesn't require more investments at this time. They may focus on growing the top (revenues) and bottom (profits) lines, recently rewarded with above-average stock returns for shareholders. But it may also be a sign of danger as the company is falling back with capital investment activities concerning competition. This requires further analysis of corporate communications. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Lynas Debt Financing Safety very solid
SAFETY METRICS | October 17, 2024 | |||||||
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LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 74 |
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REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 47 |
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LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 86 |
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CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 78 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 78 (better than 78% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Lynas has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Lynas is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Lynas. Leverage is at a rank of 74, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 74% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 86, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 86% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 47, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 53% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 78 (better than 78% compared with alternatives), Lynas has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Lynas. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Lynas Below-Average Financial Performance
COMBINED PERFORMANCE | October 17, 2024 | |||||||
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VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 3 |
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GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 63 |
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SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 86 |
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COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 37 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 37 (worse than 63% compared with investment alternatives), Lynas (Diversified Metals & Mining, Malaysia) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Lynas are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 3 (worse than 97% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 63) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 78, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 37, is a hold recommendation based on Lynas's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Lynas exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 3), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 63). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 78) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). ...read more
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