Fact based stock research
Marriott International (NasdaqGS:MAR)

US5719032022

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

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Marriott International stock research in summary

marriott.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 73 (better than 73% compared with investment alternatives), Marriott International (Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Marriott International are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 60, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 41). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 73, is a buy recommendation based on Marriott International's financial characteristics. As the company Marriott International's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 61) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 41) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 60), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 61% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	61
Growth Rank	41
Safety Rank	60
Combined Rank	73

Country	USA
Industry	Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Index	Low Emissions, Dividends USA, Diversity USA, Human Rights, NASDAQ 100, NASDAQ, S&P US Luxury, S&P 500
Size class	XX-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Research History: Marriott International

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	3	27	71	61
GROWTH
GROWTH	83	97	81	41
SAFETY
SAFETY	33	39	71	60
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	62	89	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	72	100	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Marriott International is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	3	27	71	61
GROWTH
GROWTH	83	97	81	41
SAFETY
SAFETY	33	39	71	60
COMBINED
COMBINED	23	58	98	73

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Marriott International the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% compared with alternatives), Marriott International shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Marriott International. Expected dividend yields are higher than for 68% of comparable companies (a Dividend Yield rank of 68), making the stock attractive. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 94, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 94% of comparable investments. But in respect to sales and profits, the picture is reversed. Price-to-Sales is 16 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than for 84% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Marriott International's sales levels. The Price-to-Profit ratio (also referred to as price-earnings (P/E) ratio) is also unfavorable for Marriott International with a rank of 22. This means that the stock price, compared with what market professionals expect for future profits, is higher than for 78% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Marriott International's profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 61, is a buy recommendation based on Marriott International's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The company seems confident that it can generate a reasonable return on invested capital, because it pays an above-average dividend while profits are below what you would expect for a company with this stock price. If you agree with this practice and believe that profits will return to higher levels, as the current dividend policy suggests, Marriott International may be an attractive investment. If this is not the case, you may want to be careful with this stock as it is also expensive compared with its expected revenue levels. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	3	27	20	16
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	56	35	29	22
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	4	1	97	94
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	77	71	68
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	3	27	71	61

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Marriott International; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 41 (better than 41% compared with alternatives), Marriott International shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Marriott International. Sales Growth has a rank of 62 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 62% of its competitors. Stock Returns are also above average with a rank of 75. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 23, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 77% of its competitors. Profit Growth is also low, with a rank of only 36, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits below average. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 41, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is a surprising picture, as the messages from the operating growth indicators of revenues, profits, and invested capital are mixed, while stock returns are above average. It may indicate new intellectual properties, such as brand improvement or a strong market position that shows in revenues but not in the capital. The low profit-growth rate may indicate an early phase where costs are still high, and revenues don't fully cover upfront investments or fixed costs. The positive investor outlook with a 75% peer outperformance is reaffirmed in this case which may be a good sign for an investment into a well-protected high-growth company. This fact needs to be confirmed by researching the company website and press. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	28	79	61	62
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	40	89	57	36
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	96	62	23
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	83	65	87	75
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	83	97	81	41

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Marriott International.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 60 (better than 60% compared with alternatives), the company Marriott International has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Marriott International is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Marriott International. Liquidity is at 93, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 93% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 42, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 58% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 25, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 75% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 60 (better than 60% compared with alternatives), Marriott International has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	46	24	28	25
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	39	23	44	42
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	51	80	92	93
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	33	39	71	60

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Marriott International and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	21	2	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	53	69	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	40	95	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	80	98	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	62	89	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Marriott International.
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