Fact based stock research
Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings (TSE:3088)

JP3869010003

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Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

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Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings stock research in summary

matsumotokiyoshi-hd.co.jp

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with investment alternatives), Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings (Drug Retail, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 47 (worse than 53% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 13) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 98), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 54, is a buy recommendation based on Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings's financial characteristics. As the company Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 47) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 13), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 98) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	47
Growth Rank	13
Safety Rank	98
Combined Rank	54

Country	Japan
Industry	Drug Retail
Index
Size class	X-Large

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	83	55	31	47
GROWTH
GROWTH	42	85	65	13
SAFETY
SAFETY	100	94	94	98
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	37	87	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	92	90	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	83	55	31	47
GROWTH
GROWTH	42	85	65	13
SAFETY
SAFETY	100	94	94	98
COMBINED
COMBINED	97	100	79	54

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 47 (worse than 53% compared with alternatives), Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 56 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 56% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 61, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 61% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than for 68% of alternatives (only 32% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than for 56% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 47, is a hold recommendation based on Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high concerning expected revenues, the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting Group or BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than distribute it to shareholders through dividends, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	76	49	28	32
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	73	62	45	56
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	67	71	52	61
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	58	26	32	44
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	83	55	31	47

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 13 (better than 13% compared with alternatives), Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings. Sales Growth has a rank of 23, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 77% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 33, and Capital Growth with 42. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 25, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 75% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 13, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	35	100	27	23
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	56	85	70	33
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	7	50	42
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	65	51	77	25
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	42	85	65	13

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 98 (better than 98% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings. Leverage is at 89, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 89% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 72, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 72% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 98, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 98% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 98 (better than 98% compared with alternatives), Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	75	78	88	89
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	54	68	78	72
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	100	96	98	98
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	100	94	94	98

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	89	85	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	6	87	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	29	51	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	37	87	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings.
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