May 11, 2023
Top 10 Stock Medibank Private Strong Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Medibank Private – Top 10 Stock in Australian Securities Exchange Index ASX 100
Medibank Private is listed as a top 10 stock on May 11, 2023 in the market index ASX 100 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Three consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. Only the Value Rank is below average. The investment rationale may be an investment in future growth, supported by professional market opinion. Based on the Obermatt 360° Rank of 87 (top 87% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for Medibank Private on May 11, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° Assessment Medibank Private Strong Buy
| 360 METRICS | May 11, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 49 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 73 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 54 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 77 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 87 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with alternatives) for 2022, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Medibank Private are very positive. The 360° Rank is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Medibank Private. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 73, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 73% of competitors in the same industry. The consolidated Safety Rank at 54 means that the company has a financing structure that is safer than 54 comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, the consolidated Sentiment Rank has a good rank of 77, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 77% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Value Rank is less desirable at 49, meaning that the share price of Medibank Private is on the higher side compared with indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is higher than for 51% of alternative stocks in the same industry. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a 360° Rank of 87, Medibank Private is better than 87% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as above-average growth (Growth Rank of 73), a safe financing structure (Safety Rank of 54), and positive professional market sentiment (Sentiment Rank of 77), it is a solid stock investment where growth may be the strongest driver of the investment rationale, also reflected by institutional investors. It is typical for growth companies to have low value, as is the case here. Investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much more do you pay for the stock of Medibank Private compared with alternatives? You can use the following rule of dumb: The growth rank reflects where the growth momentum of the company is (73% better than peers). The value rank could be the reverse reflection of that (27%). A Value Rank below that level may be assessed as expensive, a rank above that is still good value. Sometimes market sentiment just extrapolates the past, but sometimes they are right. You pay more than the market average for this stock, but it may be worth it. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Medibank Private very positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 77 (better than 77% compared with alternatives) for 2022, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Medibank Private is very positive. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Medibank Private. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 44 (worse than 56% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 57, which indicates a shift in stock research experts opinions for the better. In other words, they are getting more optimistic about stock investments in Medibank Private. Even better, the Professional Investors rank is 91, meaning that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 91% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. Furthermore, Market Pulse has a rank of 70, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are upbeat when discussing this company (more positive news than for 70% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 77 (more positive than 77% compared with investment alternatives), Medibank Private has a reputation among professional investors that is significantly higher than that of its competitors. While analysts are still critical of the company, some are changing their minds. In addition, the professional news channels are optimistic, and many institutional investors have already bought stock in the company. These are encouraging signals, despite the still lower level of analyst recommendations. They may be due to a problematic past, and about to change. The positive sentiment signals are stronger than the negative. ...read more
Value Strategy: Medibank Private Stock Price Value below-average critical
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 49 (worse than 51% compared with alternatives), Medibank Private shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for Medibank Private. Price-to-Sales (P/S) has a value of 66, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than 66% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Medibank Private's revenue size. The same is valid for dividend yields with an Obermatt Dividend Yield rank of 65, which means that dividends are expected to be higher than 65% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than 88% of alternatives (only 12% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E), which is higher than 69% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 49, is a HOLD recommendation based on Medibank Private's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a somewhat surprising picture, because it means that profits are low while dividends are high. One interpretation could be that profits are expected to increase, justifying the high dividend payments. But it could also mean that the company desperately keeps the high dividends to avoid a collapsing share price. This would be a rather dangerous constellation. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Medibank Private Growth Momentum good
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 73 (better than 73% compared with alternatives), Medibank Private shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Medibank Private. Profit Growth has a rank of 57, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 57% of its competitors. This is a good sign for shareholders, which is confirmed by an above-average Stock Returns rank of 87 (above 87% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has a below the median rank of 45, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 55% of its competitors, and Capital Growth also has a lower rank of 49. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 73, is a BUY recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Because revenues and invested capital are the more solid growth indicators, the positive development on the profit side is less relevant. It may have been caused by cost-cutting, which may be a negative growth indicator. Finally, the above-average stock returns recently are a thing of the past and not a good indicator of future returns. Investors should be confident that the cost-cutting initiative leading to higher profits is to benefit the company's future. If not, there is little growth momentum, and investment is only advisable if the Value Ranks suggest a good investment timing for Medibank Private. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Medibank Private Debt Financing Safety above-average
| SAFETY METRICS | May 11, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 90 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 50 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 90 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 54 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with alternatives), the company Medibank Private has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Medibank Private is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Medibank Private. Leverage is at 90, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 90% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 50, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 50% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 90, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 90% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with alternatives), Medibank Private has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Medibank Private Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | May 11, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 49 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 73 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 90 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 66 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 66 (better than 66% compared with investment alternatives), Medibank Private (Life & Health Insurance, Australia) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Medibank Private are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Obermatt Value Rank of 49 (worse than 51% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 73) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 54, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: An Obermatt Combined Rank of 66, is a buy recommendation based on Medibank Private's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Medibank Private exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 49), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 73). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 54) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). ...read more
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