Fact based stock research
Middlesex Water (NasdaqGS:MSEX)
US5966801087
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
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Middlesex Water stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 41 (worse than 59% compared with investment alternatives), Middlesex Water (Water Utilities, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Middlesex Water are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 7 (worse than 93% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 51) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 85, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 41, is a hold recommendation based on Middlesex Water's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Middlesex Water exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 7), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 51). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 85) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | USA |
Industry | Water Utilities |
Index | NASDAQ |
Size class | Small |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Research History: Middlesex Water
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 3 |
|
1 |
|
6 |
|
7 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 25 |
|
97 |
|
45 |
|
51 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 27 |
|
89 |
|
91 |
|
85 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
90 |
|
84 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
87 |
|
72 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 41 (worse than 59% compared with investment alternatives), Middlesex Water (Water Utilities, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Middlesex Water are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 7 (worse than 93% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 51) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 85, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 41, is a hold recommendation based on Middlesex Water's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Middlesex Water exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 7), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 51). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 85) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 3 |
|
1 |
|
6 |
|
7 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 25 |
|
97 |
|
45 |
|
51 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 27 |
|
89 |
|
91 |
|
85 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 3 |
|
76 |
|
41 |
|
41 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 7 (worse than 93% compared with alternatives), Middlesex Water shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Middlesex Water. Price-to-Sales is 2 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 98% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Middlesex Water's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 20, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Middlesex Water. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 17 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 85% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 7, is a sell recommendation based on Middlesex Water's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Middlesex Water? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Middlesex Water? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Middlesex Water may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 3 |
|
1 |
|
3 |
|
2 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 18 |
|
11 |
|
13 |
|
17 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 9 |
|
10 |
|
15 |
|
20 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 38 |
|
11 |
|
14 |
|
15 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 3 |
|
1 |
|
6 |
|
7 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 51 (better than 51% compared with alternatives), Middlesex Water shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Middlesex Water. Sales Growth has a rank of 80 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 80% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 24% of competitors with a rank of 63. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 24, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 76% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 29. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 51, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 24 |
|
87 |
|
98 |
|
80 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 9 |
|
67 |
|
71 |
|
24 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
31 |
|
43 |
|
63 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 77 |
|
99 |
|
11 |
|
29 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 25 |
|
97 |
|
45 |
|
51 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Middlesex Water has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Middlesex Water is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Middlesex Water. Leverage is at 86, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 86% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 53, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 53% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 72, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 72% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives), Middlesex Water has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Middlesex Water but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 74 |
|
92 |
|
86 |
|
86 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 35 |
|
57 |
|
83 |
|
53 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 16 |
|
86 |
|
80 |
|
72 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 27 |
|
89 |
|
91 |
|
85 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
61 |
|
100 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
61 |
|
32 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
90 |
|
79 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
90 |
|
84 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Middlesex Water from November 14, 2024.
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